Test Predictions Recap
2026-03-13
Latest Mar 12 Mar 11 Mar 9 Mar 8 Mar 7 Mar 6 Mar 5
All Games Summary
Total Picks
34
Final results
34
Correct picks
27
Incorrect picks
7
Pending
0
Accuracy
79.4%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (34)
Ohio State (21-11) 67, Michigan #3 (29-2) 71 [4] Michigan (87.5%)
South Carolina State (10-21) 61, Howard (21-10) 78 [17] Howard (87.0%)
Georgetown (16-17) 51, UConn #6 (28-4) 67 [16] UConn (86.1%)
Clemson (24-9) 61, Duke #1 (30-2) 73 [12] Duke (82.4%)
Kentucky (21-12) 63, Florida #4 (25-6) 71 [8] Florida (82.1%)
Alabama #15 (23-8) 79, Ole Miss (14-19) 80 [1] Alabama (80.9%)
UT Arlington (18-13) 65, Utah Valley (24-7) 67 [2] Utah Valley (78.2%)
North Texas (19-13) 84, Tulsa (25-6) 90 [6] Tulsa (76.7%)
Seton Hall (21-11) 68, St. John's #13 (26-6) 78 [10] St. John's (76.7%)
Duquesne (18-14) 66, VCU (24-7) 71 [5] VCU (76.4%)
George Washington (18-14) 81, Saint Louis (27-4) 88 [7] Saint Louis (73.5%)
Kent State (24-8) 68, Akron (27-5) 75 [7] Akron (73.3%)
Nevada (22-11) 66, Utah State (26-6) 79 [13] Utah State (72.9%)
Illinois #9 (24-7) 88, Wisconsin #23 (23-9) 91 [3] Illinois (72.8%)
St. Bonaventure (17-16) 63, Dayton (21-10) 68 [5] Dayton (72.6%)
Oklahoma (19-14) 79, Arkansas #17 (23-8) 82 [3] Arkansas (72.0%)
Utah Tech (19-14) 72, California Baptist (23-8) 86 [14] California Baptist (71.4%)
Kansas #14 (23-9) 47, Houston #5 (27-5) 69 [22] Houston (71.0%)
Michigan State #8 (25-6) 84, UCLA (22-10) 88 [4] Michigan State (70.1%)
Cal State Northridge (20-13) 78, UC Irvine (22-10) 93 [15] UC Irvine (69.3%)
Delaware State (8-22) 53, North Carolina Central (13-17) 59 [6] North Carolina Central (67.6%)
UAB (20-11) 78, Charlotte (16-16) 83 [5] UAB (67.3%)
Massachusetts (17-15) 67, Toledo (18-14) 77 [10] Toledo (66.3%)
Cal State Fullerton (18-15) 63, Hawai'i (22-8) 78 [15] Hawai'i (65.6%)
Iowa State #7 (27-6) 80, Arizona #2 (30-2) 82 [2] Arizona (64.2%)
Miami (25-7) 62, Virginia #10 (28-4) 84 [22] Virginia (63.9%)
Davidson (20-12) 58, Saint Joseph's (21-10) 70 [12] Saint Joseph's (63.6%)
Alabama A&M (18-14) 55, Prairie View A&M (16-17) 74 [19] Alabama A&M (63.0%)
New Mexico (23-9) 62, San Diego State (21-10) 64 [2] San Diego State (60.3%)
Sam Houston (22-10) 73, Kennesaw State (19-13) 79 [6] Sam Houston (58.3%)
Missouri State (16-17) 66, Louisiana Tech (19-13) 69 [3] Louisiana Tech (58.0%) DOG
Tennessee #25 (22-10) 68, Vanderbilt #22 (24-7) 75 [7] Vanderbilt (53.7%) DOG
Nebraska #11 (26-5) 58, Purdue #18 (24-8) 74 [16] Purdue (51.2%)
Florida A&M (14-15) 70, Southern (16-16) 73 [3] Florida A&M (50.5%) DOG
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
34
Final results
34
Correct picks
27
Incorrect picks
7
Pending
0
Accuracy
76.5%
Win/Loss Model Calibration Quality
Calibrated Games
34
Avg Confidence
70.2%
ECE (lower=better)
0.0664
Calibration Quality
Good
What is calibration? When our model says "70% confident", the team should win ~70% of the time. ECE measures this accuracy - lower is better.
Moneyline Betting Performance ($100/game)
Moneyline Bets
34
ML Win Rate
76.5%
ML Profit
$$286
ML ROI
8.4%
Underdog Moneyline Strategy
Underdog Bets
1
Wins
0
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$-100
ROI
-100.0%
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
8
Wins
6
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
75.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$210
ROI
26.3%
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
1
Wins
0
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$-100
ROI
-100.0%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)

No recommended picks met the criteria (4.0+ edge, ≤12 spread, ≥65% confidence).

Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
1
Wins
0
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$-100
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Florida A&M 70, Southern 73 [3] Florida A&M 50.5% +127 +8.1% LOSS
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 75% confidence + 10% edge filters today.

5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
8
Wins
6
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
75.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$210
ROI
26.3%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Alabama A&M 55, Prairie View A&M 74 [19] Alabama A&M 63.0% -105 +14.4% LOSS
Davidson 58, Saint Joseph's 70 [12] Saint Joseph's 63.6% -135 +8.4% WIN
Florida A&M 70, Southern 73 [3] Florida A&M 50.5% +127 +8.1% LOSS
New Mexico 62, San Diego State 64 [2] San Diego State 60.3% -125 +7.0% WIN
Cal State Northridge 78, UC Irvine 93 [15] UC Irvine 69.3% -186 +6.7% WIN
Massachusetts 67, Toledo 77 [10] Toledo 66.3% -166 +6.3% WIN
Cal State Fullerton 63, Hawai'i 78 [15] Hawai'i 65.6% -170 +5.3% WIN
Missouri State 66, Louisiana Tech 69 [3] Louisiana Tech 58.0% -120 +5.2% WIN
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
1
Wins
0
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$-100
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Alabama A&M 55, Prairie View A&M 74 [19] Alabama A&M 63.0% -105 +14.4% LOSS
Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
3
Wins
0
Losses
3
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$-300
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
South Carolina State @ Howard South Carolina State 13.0% +900 +3.4% LOSS
Prairie View A&M @ Alabama A&M Alabama A&M 63.0% -105 +14.4% LOSS
Purdue @ Nebraska Nebraska 48.8% +147 +9.9% LOSS