Test Predictions Recap
2026-03-07
Latest Mar 7 Mar 6 Mar 5 Mar 4 Mar 3 Mar 2 Mar 1
All Games Summary
Total Picks
76
Final results
75
Correct picks
52
Incorrect picks
23
Pending
1
Accuracy
69.3%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
⏰ UPCOMING GAMES (1)
Long Beach State (9-22) 0, Hawai'i (22-7) 0 [0] 70-76
O/U: 149.8		 Hawai'i (85.4%)
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (75)
Air Force (3-27) 59, Nevada (19-11) 74 [15] 58-74 ✓ MAE: 0.8
BET UNDER 145.0		 Nevada (95.1%)
North Carolina #17 (24-6) 61, Duke #1 (28-2) 76 [15] 70-80 ✓ MAE: 6.6
BET OVER 147.2		 Duke (90.7%)
Georgia Tech (11-19) 76, Clemson (21-9) 79 [3] 66-75 ✓ MAE: 7.2
BET UNDER 145.2		 Clemson (89.6%)
Kansas State (12-18) 85, Kansas #14 (21-9) 104 [19] 71-81 ✗ MAE: 18.2
BET UNDER 157.2		 Kansas (88.7%)
Arizona State (16-14) 65, Iowa State #6 (24-6) 86 [21] 69-83 ✓ MAE: 3.8
BET OVER 148.5		 Iowa State (88.5%)
Princeton (9-19) 53, Yale (22-5) 78 [25] 69-75 ✗ MAE: 9.1
BET OVER 136.5		 Yale (87.3%)
Fresno State (13-17) 60, Grand Canyon (19-11) 85 [25] 65-70 ✗ MAE: 9.7
BET UNDER 146.8		 Grand Canyon (85.9%)
Utah (10-20) 75, Baylor (15-15) 101 [26] 72-76 ✗ MAE: 14.1
O/U: 148.5		 Baylor (85.7%)
Xavier (14-16) 78, Villanova (23-7) 91 [13] 70-76 ✗ MAE: 11.8
BET UNDER 153.8		 Villanova (85.5%)
New Hampshire (9-20) 69, UMBC (21-8) 84 [15] 65-70 ✗ MAE: 9.2
BET UNDER 142.5		 UMBC (85.2%)
Virginia Tech (19-11) 72, Virginia #13 (26-4) 76 [4] 72-74 ✓ MAE: 1.4
O/U: 146.2		 Virginia (78.9%)
La Salle (9-21) 76, Saint Joseph's (20-10) 88 [12] 64-68 ✗ MAE: 16.0
BET UNDER 142.2		 Saint Joseph's (77.3%)
Cal State Bakersfield (8-23) 76, Cal Poly (13-18) 108 [32] 74-76 ✗ MAE: 17.0
BET UNDER 175.5		 Cal Poly (76.5%)
UC Davis (18-12) 69, UC Irvine (21-10) 79 [10] 71-74 ✓ MAE: 3.7
O/U: 145.5		 UC Irvine (76.1%)
Purdue #15 (23-7) 93, Wisconsin (21-9) 97 [4] 74-77 ✗ MAE: 19.4
BET UNDER 154.5		 Purdue (76.0%)
NC State (19-11) 84, Stanford (19-11) 85 [1] 71-74 ✗ MAE: 11.6
BET UNDER 152.5		 NC State (75.5%)
Bryant (9-21) 57, Vermont (20-11) 77 [20] 62-66 ✓ MAE: 8.0
O/U: 130.8		 Vermont (72.7%)
Texas (18-12) 85, Oklahoma (16-14) 88 [3] 77-79 ✗ MAE: 8.6
O/U: 154.2		 Texas (71.9%)
Wagner (14-16) 56, Long Island University (22-10) 64 [8] 67-66 ✓ MAE: 6.3
BET UNDER 139.0		 Long Island University (71.7%)
Cal State Northridge (19-12) 77, Cal State Fullerton (16-15) 90 [13] 79-77 ✓ MAE: 5.6
BET UNDER 173.5		 Cal State Northridge (71.3%)
Auburn (16-14) 84, Alabama #16 (22-8) 96 [12] 85-86 ✓ MAE: 5.2
BET UNDER 176.8		 Alabama (71.1%)
Hampton (13-18) 68, Towson (17-14) 74 [6] 66-65 ✓ MAE: 5.9
O/U: 130.8		 Towson (71.0%)
Ole Miss (12-18) 61, South Carolina (12-18) 64 [3] 71-72 ✗ MAE: 9.2
BET UNDER 146.8		 Ole Miss (70.2%)
Sacramento State (10-20) 45, Idaho (17-14) 68 [23] 76-74 ✗ MAE: 18.6
BET UNDER 158.5		 Idaho (69.5%)
Colorado (17-13) 79, Arizona #2 (28-2) 89 [10] 82-77 ✓ MAE: 4.5
BET OVER 156.2		 Arizona (69.2%)
New Mexico (22-8) 90, Utah State (24-6) 94 [4] 77-78 ✗ MAE: 14.9
O/U: 155.8		 Utah State (68.5%)
Oklahoma State (18-12) 75, Houston #7 (25-5) 82 [7] 75-69 ✓ MAE: 6.5
BET UNDER 150.5		 Houston (68.3%)
George Washington (17-13) 62, Loyola Chicago (7-23) 68 [6] 74-74 ✗ MAE: 8.6
O/U: 148.8		 George Washington (67.5%)
Syracuse (15-15) 69, Pittsburgh (11-19) 71 [2] 72-69 ✓ MAE: 0.8
O/U: 141.5		 Syracuse (66.8%)
Sam Houston (21-9) 72, Liberty (24-6) 79 [7] 73-70 ✓ MAE: 4.8
BET UNDER 152.5		 Liberty (65.2%)
UConn #4 (27-3) 62, Marquette (11-19) 68 [6] 70-70 ✓ MAE: 4.8
BET UNDER 143.2		 UConn (64.8%)
Elon (14-17) 62, William & Mary (19-11) 72 [10] 77-77 ✗ MAE: 9.8
BET UNDER 163.5		 William & Mary (64.6%)
California (21-9) 73, Wake Forest (15-15) 80 [7] 74-75 ✓ MAE: 2.9
BET UNDER 154.2		 Wake Forest (64.1%)
Utah Tech (18-13) 101, Utah Valley (23-7) 104 [3] 71-73 ✗ MAE: 30.6
BET UNDER 147.5		 Utah Valley (63.8%)
Florida Atlantic (17-13) 70, Wichita State (20-10) 88 [18] 74-75 ✗ MAE: 8.3
O/U: 149.8		 Wichita State (63.4%)
Saint Louis #25 (27-3) 57, George Mason (22-8) 86 [29] 72-74 ✗ MAE: 13.5
O/U: 146.5		 Saint Louis (63.1%)
Richmond (15-15) 77, Duquesne (16-14) 79 [2] 73-73 ✓ MAE: 5.1
O/U: 147.5		 Duquesne (63.1%)
UAlbany (11-20) 76, UMass Lowell (14-17) 81 [5] 74-70 ✓ MAE: 6.7
BET UNDER 146.5		 UMass Lowell (63.0%)
Stonehill (12-20) 51, Mercyhurst (16-16) 56 [5] 66-65 ✗ MAE: 11.6
BET UNDER 135.2		 Mercyhurst (62.3%)
Southern Utah (10-20) 75, California Baptist (22-8) 82 [7] 68-70 ✗ MAE: 10.0
BET UNDER 149.2		 California Baptist (62.1%)
Tennessee #23 (21-9) 82, Vanderbilt #24 (23-7) 86 [4] 82-76 ✓ MAE: 5.2
BET OVER 146.2		 Tennessee (61.9%)
Northern Arizona (10-21) 65, Idaho State (12-19) 73 [8] 73-72 ✓ MAE: 4.2
BET OVER 142.2		 Idaho State (61.0%)
USC (18-12) 68, UCLA (20-10) 89 [21] 70-73 ✗ MAE: 12.1
BET UNDER 150.5		 UCLA (60.6%)
St. Bonaventure (15-15) 63, Davidson (18-12) 68 [5] 72-69 ✓ MAE: 5.1
O/U: 141.5		 St. Bonaventure (59.0%)
San José State (8-22) 78, Wyoming (17-13) 88 [10] 69-72 ✗ MAE: 12.6
BET UNDER 148.2		 Wyoming (58.8%)
Mercer (19-12) 73, Western Carolina (14-15) 77 [4] 75-77 ✓ MAE: 3.2
BET UNDER 154.2		 Mercer (58.6%)
Samford (18-13) 81, Furman (19-12) 86 [5] 74-72 ✗ MAE: 10.7
O/U: 146.8		 Samford (58.2%)
Quinnipiac (19-12) 75, Marist (18-11) 77 [2] 71-66 ✓ MAE: 7.7
BET OVER 133.2		 Quinnipiac (57.0%)
Mount St. Mary's (15-16) 58, Siena (20-11) 63 [5] 68-66 ✓ MAE: 6.7
O/U: 133.5		 Siena (56.6%)
Providence (14-16) 79, Georgetown (13-17) 80 [1] 82-77 ✓ MAE: 2.9
O/U: 157.5		 Georgetown (56.0%) DOG
Kentucky (19-11) 77, Florida #5 (24-6) 84 [7] 77-81 ✓ MAE: 5.5
BET UNDER 162.2		 Florida (56.0%)
Kennesaw State (18-12) 76, New Mexico State (14-15) 79 [3] 76-73 ✓ MAE: 3.2
BET UNDER 157.5		 New Mexico State (55.9%)
Indiana (18-12) 78, Ohio State (19-11) 91 [13] 74-74 ✗ MAE: 10.5
O/U: 148.2		 Ohio State (55.5%)
Northwestern (13-17) 66, Minnesota (14-16) 67 [1] 69-66 ✓ MAE: 2.1
BET OVER 132.0		 Minnesota (55.5%)
Cincinnati (17-13) 63, TCU (20-10) 73 [10] 71-69 ✓ MAE: 6.1
O/U: 140.0		 TCU (55.0%)
DePaul (16-14) 71, Butler (15-15) 81 [10] 73-71 ✓ MAE: 3.9
O/U: 142.8		 DePaul (55.0%)
Maine (8-23) 58, NJIT (15-16) 60 [2] 67-64 ✓ MAE: 6.5
BET UNDER 134.2		 NJIT (54.7%)
Dartmouth (11-15) 90, Cornell (14-12) 111 [21] 78-82 ✗ MAE: 20.2
BET UNDER 166.5		 Cornell (54.1%)
Texas Tech #10 (22-8) 76, BYU (20-10) 82 [6] 79-81 ✓ MAE: 1.9
O/U: 158.8		 BYU (54.0%)
Mississippi State (13-17) 96, Georgia (21-9) 102 [6] 80-82 ✗ MAE: 17.9
BET UNDER 165.8		 Georgia (53.7%)
Missouri (20-10) 84, Arkansas #20 (22-8) 88 [4] 84-76 ✓ MAE: 6.0
BET UNDER 162.0		 Missouri (53.6%)
Rhode Island (16-14) 49, Fordham (16-14) 61 [12] 68-65 ✗ MAE: 11.2
BET UNDER 136.0		 Fordham (53.5%)
Washington (15-15) 79, Oregon (11-19) 85 [6] 72-68 ✗ MAE: 11.9
BET UNDER 144.2		 Oregon (53.3%)
Missouri State (14-16) 63, Middle Tennessee (16-14) 75 [12] 71-70 ✓ MAE: 5.1
BET UNDER 146.0		 Missouri State (53.3%)
Abilene Christian (13-17) 57, UT Arlington (16-13) 64 [7] 72-64 ✓ MAE: 7.6
BET OVER 132.5		 Abilene Christian (53.2%)
UC Santa Barbara (18-12) 63, UC San Diego (21-10) 64 [1] 72-71 ✗ MAE: 8.0
BET OVER 139.5		 UC Santa Barbara (52.6%)
Colorado State (20-10) 67, Boise State (19-11) 78 [11] 72-67 ✓ MAE: 3.1
BET UNDER 143.8		 Colorado State (52.6%) DOG
SMU (19-11) 78, Florida State (16-14) 91 [13] 82-76 ✗ MAE: 9.5
O/U: 158.5		 Florida State (52.4%)
LSU (15-15) 91, Texas A&M (20-10) 94 [3] 77-83 ✗ MAE: 12.4
O/U: 160.8		 Texas A&M (52.3%)
Western Kentucky (18-12) 67, Florida International (14-16) 92 [25] 74-73 ✗ MAE: 13.4
BET UNDER 160.0		 Florida International (51.9%) DOG
Notre Dame (13-17) 69, Boston College (10-20) 77 [8] 70-69 ✓ MAE: 4.5
BET UNDER 142.2		 Notre Dame (51.6%)
Stony Brook (17-14) 89, Campbell (14-17) 96 [7] 70-74 ✗ MAE: 20.7
BET UNDER 148.0		 Campbell (51.3%)
UTEP (11-19) 61, Jacksonville State (14-16) 64 [3] 70-63 ✓ MAE: 4.1
BET UNDER 139.5		 UTEP (50.7%) DOG
Delaware (10-20) 38, Louisiana Tech (17-13) 81 [43] 64-68 ✗ MAE: 23.4
O/U: 131.8		 Louisiana Tech (50.6%)
Miami #22 (24-6) 89, Louisville (21-9) 92 [3] 78-75 ✗ MAE: 14.0
BET UNDER 155.2		 Miami (50.6%)
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
76
Final results
75
Correct picks
52
Incorrect picks
23
Pending
1
Accuracy
69.3%
Win/Loss Model Calibration Quality
Calibrated Games
75
Avg Confidence
65.0%
ECE (lower=better)
0.0864
Calibration Quality
Good
What is calibration? When our model says "70% confident", the team should win ~70% of the time. ECE measures this accuracy - lower is better.
Moneyline Betting Performance ($100/game)
Moneyline Bets
70
ML Win Rate
68.6%
ML Profit
$$-225
ML ROI
-3.2%
Underdog Moneyline Strategy
Underdog Bets
1
Wins
0
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$-100
ROI
-100.0%
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
2
Wins
1
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$-9
ROI
-4.5%
Spread Confidence Calibration
Calibrated Games
75
Avg Confidence
40.8%
ECE (lower=better)
0.2433
Calibration Quality
Needs Improvement
Over/Under Betting Performance (2+ Point Edge vs Vegas O/U)
O/U Bets
52
O/U Wins
24
O/U Losses
28
O/U Win Rate
46.2%
O/U Profit
$$-618
O/U ROI
-11.9%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-6.2%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)
Total Recommended
3
Completed
3
Covered
1
Failed
2
Pushes
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
33.3%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$-109.10
ROI
-36.4%
Over/Under Performance (Recommended Picks Only)
O/U Bets
3
O/U Wins
2
O/U Losses
1
O/U Win Rate
66.7%
O/U Profit
$81.80
O/U ROI
27.3%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+14.3%
Game Pick Spread Edge Predicted Actual Result
Wagner 56 @ Long Island University 64 Long Island University (71.7%) Long Island University -6.5 +8.1 -1.6 +8.0 COVERED
Cal State Fullerton 90 @ Cal State Northridge 77 Cal State Northridge (71.3%) Cal State Northridge -5.5 +7.9 -2.4 -13.0 FAILED
Hampton 68 @ Towson 74 Towson (71.0%) Towson -7.0 +7.8 -0.8 +6.0 FAILED
Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
1
Wins
0
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$-100
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
UTEP 61, Jacksonville State 64 [3] UTEP 50.7% +110 +4.9% LOSS
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 75% confidence + 10% edge filters today.

5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
2
Wins
1
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$-9
ROI
-4.5%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Providence 79, Georgetown 80 [1] Georgetown 56.0% -110 +6.0% WIN
Samford 81, Furman 86 [5] Samford 58.2% -122 +5.2% LOSS
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets offered a 10%+ model edge today.

Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
3
Wins
0
Losses
3
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$-300
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Arizona @ Colorado Colorado 30.8% +750 +19.6% LOSS
Houston @ Oklahoma State Oklahoma State 31.7% +587 +17.8% LOSS
Bryant @ Vermont Bryant 27.3% +650 +14.6% LOSS