Test Predictions Recap
2026-04-01
Latest Mar 29 Mar 28 Mar 27 Mar 26 Mar 25 Mar 24 Mar 22
All Games Summary
Total Picks
2
Final results
2
Correct picks
1
Incorrect picks
1
Pending
0
Accuracy
50.0%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
COMPLETED GAMES (2)
Colorado (17-15) 86, Oklahoma (19-15) 90 [4] Oklahoma (58.0%)
Minnesota (15-17) 48, Baylor (16-16) 67 [19] Minnesota (56.7%) DOG
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
2
Final results
2
Correct picks
1
Incorrect picks
1
Pending
0
Accuracy
50.0%
Win/Loss Model Calibration Quality
Calibrated Games
2
Avg Confidence
57.3%
ECE (lower=better)
0.0732
Calibration Quality
Good
What is calibration? When our model says "70% confident", the team should win ~70% of the time. ECE measures this accuracy - lower is better.
Moneyline Betting Performance ($100/game)
Moneyline Bets
1
ML Win Rate
100.0%
ML Profit
$$38
ML ROI
37.7%
Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$0
ROI
0.0%

No underdog moneyline bets met the plus-money requirement today.

75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 75% confidence + 10% edge filters today.

5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 5% edge filter today.

10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets offered a 10%+ model edge today.

Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
1
Wins
0
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$-100
ROI
-100.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Oklahoma @ Colorado Colorado 42.0% +215 +11.6% LOSS