Test Predictions Recap
2026-03-28
Latest Mar 27 Mar 26 Mar 25 Mar 24 Mar 22 Mar 21 Mar 20
All Games Summary
Total Picks
2
Final results
2
Correct picks
2
Incorrect picks
0
Pending
0
Accuracy
100.0%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (2)
Iowa (24-12) 59, Illinois #13 (27-8) 71 [12] Illinois (75.7%)
Purdue #8 (30-8) 64, Arizona #2 (35-2) 79 [15] Arizona (72.9%)
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
2
Final results
2
Correct picks
2
Incorrect picks
0
Pending
0
Accuracy
100.0%
Win/Loss Model Calibration Quality
Calibrated Games
2
Avg Confidence
74.3%
ECE (lower=better)
0.2569
Calibration Quality
Needs Improvement
What is calibration? When our model says "70% confident", the team should win ~70% of the time. ECE measures this accuracy - lower is better.
Moneyline Betting Performance ($100/game)
Moneyline Bets
2
ML Win Rate
100.0%
ML Profit
$$72
ML ROI
35.8%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)

No recommended picks met the criteria (4.0+ edge, ≤12 spread, ≥65% confidence).

Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$0
ROI
0.0%

No underdog moneyline bets met the plus-money requirement today.

75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 75% confidence + 10% edge filters today.

5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets met the 5% edge filter today.

10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
0
Wins
0
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$0
ROI
0.0%

No bets offered a 10%+ model edge today.

Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
1
Wins
1
Losses
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
100.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$34
ROI
34.5%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Iowa @ Illinois Illinois 75.7% -290 +4.4% WIN