Test Predictions Recap
2026-02-28
Latest Mar 3 Mar 2 Mar 1 Feb 28 Feb 27 Feb 26 Feb 25
All Games Summary
Total Picks
143
Final results
143
Correct picks
82
Incorrect picks
61
Pending
0
Accuracy
57.3%
Game Predicted Score Prediction
✓ COMPLETED GAMES (143)
Oregon State (16-14) 72, Santa Clara (23-7) 93 [21] 72-79 ✓ MAE: 6.9
O/U: 153.2		 Santa Clara (93.7%)
Cleveland State (10-20) 64, Robert Morris (20-10) 83 [19] 76-79 ✓ MAE: 8.0
BET UNDER 158.0		 Robert Morris (91.2%)
South Carolina (12-16) 68, Georgia (19-9) 87 [19] 77-82 ✓ MAE: 6.9
O/U: 159.2		 Georgia (91.0%)
Colorado (16-12) 62, Houston #5 (23-5) 102 [40] 68-79 ✗ MAE: 14.3
BET OVER 139.8		 Houston (90.7%)
Boston College (10-18) 54, Miami (22-6) 76 [22] 66-73 ✓ MAE: 7.5
BET UNDER 143.5		 Miami (90.7%)
Duquesne (16-12) 76, Saint Louis #23 (25-3) 91 [15] 77-87 ✓ MAE: 2.3
BET OVER 160.5		 Saint Louis (90.6%)
Fordham (16-12) 63, VCU (21-7) 82 [19] 68-71 ✓ MAE: 7.7
BET UNDER 144.0		 VCU (90.5%)
Air Force (3-25) 62, Wyoming (15-13) 66 [4] 63-76 ✓ MAE: 5.8
BET UNDER 147.5		 Wyoming (90.5%)
Wofford (19-11) 90, The Citadel (9-21) 93 [3] 70-73 ✗ MAE: 19.9
BET UNDER 148.5		 Wofford (89.3%)
North Dakota (16-15) 63, North Dakota State (23-7) 96 [33] 73-78 ✗ MAE: 14.2
O/U: 150.5		 North Dakota State (89.0%)
Virginia #11 (25-3) 51, Duke #1 (26-2) 77 [26] 71-73 ✗ MAE: 12.1
BET OVER 141.5		 Duke (88.7%)
Campbell (13-16) 67, Towson (15-14) 71 [4] 72-73 ✓ MAE: 3.5
BET OVER 142.8		 Towson (86.5%)
Syracuse (15-13) 83, Wake Forest (14-14) 88 [5] 76-72 ✗ MAE: 12.0
BET UNDER 152.5		 Wake Forest (86.2%)
Tennessee #22 (20-8) 69, Alabama #17 (21-7) 71 [2] 83-78 ✗ MAE: 10.7
BET UNDER 164.8		 Tennessee (85.7%)
Utah (10-18) 60, Arizona State (14-14) 73 [13] 78-76 ✗ MAE: 10.4
BET OVER 150.5		 Arizona State (85.7%)
Columbia (16-10) 54, Yale (21-5) 60 [6] 76-78 ✗ MAE: 20.2
BET OVER 151.5		 Yale (85.0%)
Colgate (17-13) 69, Navy (24-6) 85 [16] 68-72 ✓ MAE: 6.8
BET UNDER 142.5		 Navy (84.5%)
Fairleigh Dickinson (11-19) 60, Long Island University (20-10) 74 [14] 64-65 ✓ MAE: 6.2
BET UNDER 137.5		 Long Island University (84.2%)
St. Francis (PA) (7-23) 64, Central Connecticut (17-11) 69 [5] 74-73 ✓ MAE: 7.0
BET UNDER 155.5		 Central Connecticut (83.3%)
Presbyterian (14-16) 70, Winthrop (20-10) 74 [4] 74-75 ✓ MAE: 2.4
O/U: 149.5		 Winthrop (83.3%)
Arkansas-Pine Bluff (12-16) 69, Mississippi Valley State (2-27) 70 [1] 62-70 ✓ MAE: 4.5
BET UNDER 147.5		 Arkansas-Pine Bluff (82.6%)
Gonzaga #9 (28-2) 59, Saint Mary's (26-4) 70 [11] 70-74 ✓ MAE: 7.4
O/U: 143.5		 Gonzaga (82.5%)
New Orleans (15-15) 63, McNeese (24-5) 66 [3] 74-74 ✗ MAE: 9.6
BET UNDER 152.5		 McNeese (82.5%)
San José State (8-20) 73, Colorado State (18-10) 85 [12] 63-66 ✗ MAE: 14.6
BET UNDER 145.5		 Colorado State (82.3%)
Massachusetts (15-14) 62, Bowling Green (16-13) 81 [19] 76-75 ✗ MAE: 10.1
O/U: 152.2		 Bowling Green (81.3%)
NC State (19-9) 90, Notre Dame (12-16) 96 [6] 77-78 ✗ MAE: 15.4
O/U: 154.0		 NC State (81.2%)
BYU #19 (20-8) 71, West Virginia (16-12) 79 [8] 70-70 ✓ MAE: 4.8
O/U: 142.2		 BYU (81.1%)
Missouri State (13-15) 81, Sam Houston (20-8) 86 [5] 75-73 ✗ MAE: 9.5
BET UNDER 154.5		 Sam Houston (81.0%)
Fresno State (12-16) 53, Boise State (17-11) 69 [16] 71-72 ✗ MAE: 10.5
BET UNDER 149.2		 Boise State (80.5%)
Southern Indiana (7-22) 70, Little Rock (11-19) 89 [19] 66-64 ✗ MAE: 14.4
BET UNDER 140.5		 Little Rock (79.8%)
Chicago State (6-23) 61, Wagner (12-16) 80 [19] 66-64 ✗ MAE: 10.4
BET UNDER 136.5		 Wagner (79.7%)
Army (11-19) 77, Lafayette (10-20) 83 [6] 70-69 ✗ MAE: 10.8
BET UNDER 143.5		 Lafayette (79.1%)
Jacksonville State (14-14) 78, Liberty (23-5) 81 [3] 67-73 ✗ MAE: 9.6
O/U: 140.0		 Liberty (78.6%)
Seton Hall (19-9) 67, UConn #6 (26-3) 71 [4] 61-65 ✓ MAE: 5.8
BET UNDER 131.0		 UConn (78.4%)
Eastern Kentucky (11-19) 77, Lipscomb (18-12) 80 [3] 73-79 ✓ MAE: 4.4
BET UNDER 159.5		 Lipscomb (78.3%)
UTEP (10-18) 65, Western Kentucky (17-11) 97 [32] 69-69 ✗ MAE: 15.6
BET UNDER 143.5		 Western Kentucky (78.3%)
Auburn (15-13) 79, Ole Miss (11-17) 85 [6] 74-76 ✓ MAE: 6.6
O/U: 152.5		 Auburn (77.4%)
Kansas State (11-17) 68, TCU (18-10) 77 [9] 74-79 ✓ MAE: 7.4
BET UNDER 157.8		 TCU (77.2%)
Idaho (16-13) 67, Northern Colorado (18-11) 76 [9] 77-76 ✓ MAE: 4.6
BET UNDER 154.8		 Northern Colorado (76.9%) DOG
Vanderbilt #25 (22-6) 77, Kentucky (18-10) 91 [14] 75-80 ✓ MAE: 6.6
O/U: 155.2		 Vanderbilt (76.6%) DOG
Nevada (19-9) 83, UNLV (14-14) 85 [2] 72-76 ✗ MAE: 9.9
BET UNDER 151.5		 Nevada (76.6%)
Pacific (17-13) 61, San Francisco (15-15) 72 [11] 69-71 ✓ MAE: 6.4
O/U: 141.5		 San Francisco (76.5%) DOG
Houston Christian (11-18) 56, Stephen F. Austin (25-4) 77 [21] 68-70 ✗ MAE: 11.1
O/U: 138.5		 Stephen F. Austin (76.4%)
North Florida (7-23) 61, Jacksonville (11-19) 85 [24] 78-86 ✗ MAE: 16.2
BET OVER 150.5		 Jacksonville (76.3%)
Loyola Marymount (15-15) 66, Seattle U (18-12) 71 [5] 65-70 ✓ MAE: 5.3
BET UNDER 138.5		 Seattle U (76.1%) DOG
Mississippi State (13-15) 64, Missouri (19-9) 88 [24] 74-76 ✗ MAE: 12.9
BET UNDER 155.2		 Missouri (75.8%)
Abilene Christian (13-15) 67, Utah Valley (21-7) 74 [7] 66-73 ✓ MAE: 0.9
O/U: 140.5		 Utah Valley (75.8%)
Oakland (16-14) 89, Detroit Mercy (14-14) 95 [6] 79-80 ✗ MAE: 12.5
BET UNDER 162.5		 Oakland (75.6%)
San Diego State (19-8) 76, New Mexico (21-7) 81 [5] 71-76 ✓ MAE: 4.7
O/U: 149.2		 San Diego State (75.5%) DOG
Brown (9-16) 80, Cornell (13-12) 86 [6] 80-79 ✓ MAE: 3.4
O/U: 158.5		 Cornell (75.4%)
Arkansas #20 (21-7) 77, Florida #7 (22-6) 111 [34] 82-85 ✗ MAE: 15.8
BET UNDER 169.5		 Florida (75.4%)
UCLA (19-9) 73, Minnesota (13-15) 78 [5] 73-67 ✓ MAE: 5.6
BET OVER 135.5		 Minnesota (75.3%) DOG
Iowa State #4 (24-4) 73, Texas Tech #16 (21-7) 82 [9] 72-76 ✓ MAE: 6.9
O/U: 146.2		 Iowa State (75.1%)
Villanova (22-6) 57, St. John's #15 (22-6) 89 [32] 76-75 ✗ MAE: 16.4
BET OVER 146.5		 St. John's (75.0%)
Washington (14-14) 73, Wisconsin (19-9) 90 [17] 75-78 ✗ MAE: 10.0
O/U: 153.5		 Wisconsin (75.0%)
East Tennessee State (21-9) 76, Mercer (18-12) 82 [6] 78-79 ✓ MAE: 2.7
BET OVER 152.0		 East Tennessee State (75.0%) DOG
Youngstown State (15-15) 63, Green Bay (16-14) 85 [22] 73-77 ✗ MAE: 9.0
BET OVER 143.0		 Youngstown State (75.0%) DOG
Texas A&M (19-9) 70, Texas (17-11) 76 [6] 83-83 ✗ MAE: 10.0
BET OVER 162.8		 Texas A&M (74.8%)
Creighton (14-15) 76, Providence (13-15) 79 [3] 78-84 ✓ MAE: 4.3
BET UNDER 166.5		 Providence (74.6%) DOG
California (20-8) 56, Pittsburgh (10-18) 72 [16] 68-75 ✗ MAE: 11.1
O/U: 141.2		 Pittsburgh (74.6%) DOG
LSU (15-13) 67, Oklahoma (14-14) 83 [16] 78-73 ✓ MAE: 5.8
BET UNDER 156.2		 LSU (74.5%)
Northern Kentucky (18-12) 91, Wright State (19-11) 92 [1] 76-79 ✗ MAE: 14.1
BET OVER 152.5		 Wright State (74.5%) DOG
Georgetown (13-15) 84, Xavier (13-15) 91 [7] 76-72 ✗ MAE: 13.4
BET UNDER 154.5		 Xavier (74.4%)
Oregon (11-17) 62, Northwestern (12-16) 63 [1] 64-69 ✓ MAE: 4.4
BET UNDER 143.5		 Oregon (74.2%) DOG
St. Bonaventure (15-13) 58, George Mason (21-7) 71 [13] 72-72 ✓ MAE: 7.4
BET UNDER 145.8		 George Mason (74.1%)
USC (18-10) 67, Nebraska #12 (24-4) 82 [15] 74-68 ✓ MAE: 4.0
BET UNDER 147.8		 USC (73.9%) DOG
San Diego (11-19) 74, Portland (12-18) 87 [13] 74-73 ✓ MAE: 7.1
BET UNDER 149.2		 San Diego (73.8%) DOG
UCF (20-7) 86, Baylor (14-14) 87 [1] 74-78 ✗ MAE: 10.5
BET UNDER 158.5		 Baylor (73.7%) DOG
North Carolina A&T (11-16) 88, William & Mary (17-11) 91 [3] 72-75 ✗ MAE: 15.6
BET UNDER 163.8		 William & Mary (73.3%)
Florida Gulf Coast (14-16) 63, Stetson (10-20) 78 [15] 71-77 ✓ MAE: 4.5
BET UNDER 150.5		 Florida Gulf Coast (73.2%)
UNC Greensboro (13-17) 78, Samford (17-13) 87 [9] 74-76 ✓ MAE: 7.1
BET UNDER 156.5		 UNC Greensboro (73.1%) DOG
Oklahoma State (17-11) 68, Cincinnati (15-13) 91 [23] 74-75 ✗ MAE: 11.3
O/U: 151.0		 Cincinnati (73.0%)
American University (16-14) 65, Boston University (14-16) 68 [3] 75-73 ✓ MAE: 7.5
BET OVER 142.5		 American University (72.5%)
Washington State (12-18) 79, Pepperdine (8-22) 88 [9] 71-71 ✗ MAE: 12.1
BET UNDER 157.2		 Washington State (72.4%)
Tarleton State (14-15) 67, California Baptist (20-8) 82 [15] 69-69 ✓ MAE: 7.4
O/U: 139.0		 California Baptist (72.2%)
Grand Canyon (18-10) 69, Utah State (23-5) 74 [5] 72-73 ✓ MAE: 1.8
BET UNDER 149.5		 Grand Canyon (72.1%) DOG
UC Santa Barbara (18-11) 60, UC Irvine (19-10) 64 [4] 70-75 ✗ MAE: 10.5
BET OVER 139.5		 UC Santa Barbara (72.0%) DOG
Kansas #14 (21-7) 61, Arizona #2 (26-2) 84 [23] 78-79 ✗ MAE: 10.8
BET OVER 149.5		 Kansas (71.9%) DOG
Dartmouth (11-14) 61, Princeton (8-19) 82 [21] 69-70 ✗ MAE: 9.9
BET UNDER 143.5		 Dartmouth (71.2%) DOG
Portland State (18-9) 68, Montana (15-14) 74 [6] 74-72 ✓ MAE: 4.2
BET OVER 143.5		 Montana (71.1%)
Maine (8-21) 67, Binghamton (7-23) 74 [7] 60-65 ✗ MAE: 8.1
BET UNDER 132.5		 Maine (70.8%) DOG
Southern (13-15) 79, Bethune-Cookman (16-13) 82 [3] 76-75 ✓ MAE: 4.6
O/U: 151.5		 Southern (70.7%)
South Dakota State (14-16) 70, South Dakota (15-15) 75 [5] 78-77 ✓ MAE: 5.0
BET OVER 150.8		 South Dakota (70.3%) DOG
Cal State Fullerton (15-14) 85, Hawai'i (20-7) 87 [2] 72-77 ✗ MAE: 11.8
BET UNDER 158.5		 Hawai'i (70.1%)
Idaho State (12-17) 73, Weber State (15-14) 83 [10] 73-76 ✓ MAE: 6.2
BET UNDER 154.0		 Weber State (70.1%) DOG
Valparaiso (17-13) 79, Evansville (6-23) 80 [1] 62-66 ✗ MAE: 15.5
BET UNDER 138.2		 Valparaiso (70.1%)
Alabama A&M (16-12) 88, Alabama State (9-19) 89 [1] 71-67 ✗ MAE: 19.6
BET UNDER 141.5		 Alabama A&M (70.0%)
Coppin State (7-21) 69, Norfolk State (14-14) 75 [6] 71-72 ✓ MAE: 3.2
O/U: 142.5		 Norfolk State (69.8%)
Stonehill (11-19) 72, Mercyhurst (14-16) 75 [3] 63-60 ✗ MAE: 11.9
BET UNDER 135.5		 Stonehill (69.6%) DOG
Cal State Northridge (18-11) 84, UC Riverside (9-21) 95 [11] 75-81 ✗ MAE: 11.5
O/U: 157.2		 Cal State Northridge (69.3%)
UMass Lowell (13-16) 60, UMBC (19-8) 84 [24] 67-74 ✗ MAE: 15.2
BET UNDER 147.5		 UMBC (68.9%)
Western Illinois (5-25) 69, Lindenwood (16-14) 91 [22] 67-66 ✗ MAE: 13.2
BET UNDER 148.5		 Lindenwood (68.6%)
Queens University (18-12) 79, Central Arkansas (19-11) 84 [5] 84-79 ✓ MAE: 5.1
O/U: 163.5		 Central Arkansas (68.6%)
Ohio (15-13) 67, Toledo (15-13) 79 [12] 73-78 ✗ MAE: 8.6
BET UNDER 158.5		 Toledo (68.5%) DOG
Furman (19-11) 67, Western Carolina (13-15) 86 [19] 78-73 ✗ MAE: 11.6
O/U: 149.0		 Western Carolina (68.4%) DOG
New Mexico State (13-14) 85, Middle Tennessee (14-14) 86 [1] 74-71 ✗ MAE: 12.8
O/U: 147.0		 Middle Tennessee (68.2%)
Cal Poly (13-16) 64, UC San Diego (20-9) 80 [16] 78-76 ✗ MAE: 9.2
BET UNDER 162.5		 Cal Poly (68.1%) DOG
Virginia Tech (18-10) 82, North Carolina #18 (22-6) 89 [7] 76-76 ✗ MAE: 9.6
BET OVER 149.8		 North Carolina (68.1%)
Morgan State (12-14) 59, Howard (18-10) 84 [25] 74-66 ✗ MAE: 8.4
BET UNDER 155.5		 Morgan State (67.8%) DOG
North Alabama (9-19) 63, West Georgia (13-16) 75 [12] 72-71 ✓ MAE: 6.8
O/U: 144.5		 West Georgia (67.8%)
Louisiana Tech (16-12) 76, Florida International (13-15) 84 [8] 70-72 ✗ MAE: 9.0
BET UNDER 145.8		 Florida International (67.5%) DOG
UNC Asheville (14-15) 75, Charleston Southern (14-16) 92 [17] 74-76 ✗ MAE: 9.6
O/U: 149.5		 Charleston Southern (67.2%) DOG
Harvard (16-10) 61, Pennsylvania (14-11) 64 [3] 66-71 ✓ MAE: 5.8
O/U: 138.5		 Harvard (67.0%) DOG
Delaware (9-19) 82, Kennesaw State (17-11) 90 [8] 69-71 ✗ MAE: 15.8
BET UNDER 145.0		 Delaware (66.6%) DOG
Kansas City (4-25) 70, Oral Roberts (8-22) 94 [24] 66-69 ✗ MAE: 14.6
BET UNDER 147.5		 Oral Roberts (66.2%)
NJIT (15-14) 52, Bryant (8-20) 69 [17] 60-66 ✓ MAE: 5.7
BET UNDER 139.5		 NJIT (65.7%)
UT Martin (21-9) 42, Tennessee State (20-9) 67 [25] 72-68 ✗ MAE: 15.5
BET UNDER 143.5		 Tennessee State (65.6%) DOG
Austin Peay (21-7) 97, Bellarmine (11-18) 111 [14] 75-80 ✗ MAE: 26.3
O/U: 156.5		 Austin Peay (65.4%)
Northwestern State (10-19) 59, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (15-14) 71 [12] 64-63 ✓ MAE: 6.6
BET UNDER 133.5		 Northwestern State (65.2%) DOG
Lamar (12-17) 60, Incarnate Word (11-18) 72 [12] 65-70 ✓ MAE: 3.5
BET UNDER 142.5		 Lamar (65.2%)
Northern Arizona (10-19) 57, Eastern Washington (12-17) 88 [31] 69-74 ✗ MAE: 12.9
BET UNDER 147.8		 Northern Arizona (65.0%) DOG
Utah Tech (18-12) 67, Southern Utah (9-19) 81 [14] 70-74 ✓ MAE: 5.0
BET UNDER 156.8		 Utah Tech (64.4%)
Radford (16-14) 74, Longwood (15-15) 90 [16] 76-79 ✓ MAE: 6.1
O/U: 153.5		 Radford (64.3%)
SMU (19-9) 75, Stanford (17-11) 95 [20] 81-75 ✗ MAE: 12.9
O/U: 155.2		 Stanford (64.2%) DOG
Northeastern (6-21) 65, Hampton (12-17) 76 [11] 72-74 ✓ MAE: 4.5
O/U: 146.5		 Hampton (63.9%)
Omaha (15-15) 53, St. Thomas-Minnesota (22-8) 68 [15] 77-82 ✗ MAE: 18.9
O/U: 157.5		 Omaha (63.4%) DOG
Buffalo (16-12) 70, Central Michigan (9-19) 75 [5] 72-73 ✓ MAE: 3.1
BET UNDER 150.2		 Buffalo (63.1%)
Cal State Bakersfield (8-21) 87, Long Beach State (8-21) 88 [1] 68-72 ✗ MAE: 17.2
BET UNDER 153.5		 Long Beach State (63.1%)
IU Indianapolis (7-23) 81, Purdue Fort Wayne (16-14) 87 [6] 74-81 ✓ MAE: 6.9
BET UNDER 161.5		 Purdue Fort Wayne (63.1%)
Sacramento State (9-19) 61, Montana State (16-13) 82 [21] 76-77 ✗ MAE: 9.9
BET UNDER 158.0		 Sacramento State (62.9%) DOG
Louisville #24 (20-8) 75, Clemson (20-8) 80 [5] 68-71 ✗ MAE: 8.1
BET UNDER 146.5		 Clemson (62.8%) DOG
Rhode Island (15-13) 55, Saint Joseph's (18-10) 61 [6] 70-66 ✗ MAE: 9.8
BET UNDER 141.2		 Rhode Island (62.8%)
Le Moyne (15-15) 59, New Haven (13-17) 66 [7] 62-66 ✓ MAE: 1.6
BET UNDER 135.5		 Le Moyne (62.6%)
Holy Cross (10-20) 62, Loyola Maryland (11-19) 76 [14] 69-70 ✓ MAE: 8.0
BET UNDER 150.5		 Loyola Maryland (62.5%) DOG
Elon (14-15) 57, Monmouth (15-14) 73 [16] 74-73 ✗ MAE: 8.4
BET UNDER 153.0		 Monmouth (61.8%)
Northern Illinois (9-18) 43, Ball State (9-19) 79 [36] 63-65 ✗ MAE: 19.1
BET UNDER 132.8		 Ball State (61.8%) DOG
Eastern Illinois (12-18) 50, SIU Edwardsville (18-12) 77 [27] 60-61 ✗ MAE: 13.2
BET UNDER 130.8		 Eastern Illinois (61.5%) DOG
Tennessee Tech (13-17) 73, Southeast Missouri State (18-12) 89 [16] 72-72 ✗ MAE: 9.3
O/U: 141.5		 Tennessee Tech (61.0%) DOG
Delaware State (6-20) 60, North Carolina Central (10-16) 74 [14] 56-61 ✗ MAE: 9.8
BET UNDER 135.5		 North Carolina Central (61.0%)
East Texas A&M (11-19) 55, UT Rio Grande Valley (16-13) 63 [8] 67-68 ✗ MAE: 8.8
BET UNDER 146.5		 East Texas A&M (59.3%) DOG
South Carolina State (7-20) 57, Maryland Eastern Shore (8-20) 69 [12] 64-63 ✓ MAE: 6.4
BET UNDER 136.5		 South Carolina State (58.9%) DOG
New Hampshire (8-19) 61, UAlbany (10-19) 84 [23] 64-69 ✗ MAE: 9.1
BET UNDER 140.5		 New Hampshire (58.3%) DOG
Iowa (20-8) 69, Penn State (11-17) 71 [2] 79-64 ✗ MAE: 8.5
BET UNDER 146.0		 Penn State (58.0%) DOG
SE Louisiana (8-21) 60, Nicholls (12-17) 68 [8] 66-69 ✓ MAE: 3.5
BET UNDER 140.5		 SE Louisiana (57.8%) DOG
VMI (6-24) 79, Chattanooga (12-18) 86 [7] 68-72 ✗ MAE: 12.3
BET UNDER 153.5		 VMI (57.8%) DOG
Grambling (12-16) 59, Florida A&M (11-15) 66 [7] 63-65 ✓ MAE: 4.3
BET UNDER 139.5		 Florida A&M (57.5%) DOG
Richmond (15-13) 66, Loyola Chicago (6-22) 69 [3] 71-69 ✓ MAE: 2.8
BET UNDER 146.5		 Loyola Chicago (57.4%) DOG
Jackson State (9-19) 57, Texas Southern (11-16) 82 [25] 76-75 ✗ MAE: 13.3
O/U: 151.5		 Jackson State (57.4%) DOG
Georgia Tech (11-17) 71, Florida State (14-14) 80 [9] 76-75 ✓ MAE: 3.8
BET UNDER 160.5		 Georgia Tech (56.5%) DOG
Alcorn State (7-20) 51, Prairie View A&M (12-17) 72 [21] 68-73 ✗ MAE: 9.4
BET UNDER 154.5		 Alcorn State (55.9%) DOG
Stony Brook (17-12) 58, Hofstra (19-10) 67 [9] 67-72 ✓ MAE: 7.1
O/U: 140.2		 Stony Brook (55.3%) DOG
Bucknell (9-21) 79, Lehigh (14-16) 89 [10] 68-70 ✗ MAE: 15.0
BET UNDER 140.5		 Bucknell (55.2%) DOG
Gardner-Webb (3-27) 61, South Carolina Upstate (12-18) 71 [10] 65-73 ✓ MAE: 3.1
BET UNDER 153.5		 South Carolina Upstate (51.1%)
Win/Loss Model (XGBoost)
Total Picks
143
Final results
143
Correct picks
82
Incorrect picks
61
Pending
0
Accuracy
57.3%
Win/Loss Model Calibration Quality
Calibrated Games
143
Avg Confidence
72.5%
ECE (lower=better)
0.1613
Calibration Quality
Needs Improvement
What is calibration? When our model says "70% confident", the team should win ~70% of the time. ECE measures this accuracy - lower is better.
Moneyline Betting Performance ($100/game)
Moneyline Bets
5
ML Win Rate
60.0%
ML Profit
$$-62
ML ROI
-12.4%
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
2
Wins
1
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$-18
ROI
-9.0%
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
4
Wins
2
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$-87
ROI
-21.8%
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
3
Wins
1
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
33.3%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$-118
ROI
-39.3%
Against The Spread (ATS) Performance
Spread Bets
26
ATS Wins
13
ATS Losses
13
ATS Win Rate
50.0%
Spread Profit
$$-118
Spread ROI
-4.5%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-2.4%
Spread Confidence Calibration
Calibrated Games
143
Avg Confidence
45.2%
ECE (lower=better)
0.1483
Calibration Quality
Needs Improvement
Over/Under Betting Performance (2+ Point Edge vs Vegas O/U)
O/U Bets
105
O/U Wins
56
O/U Losses
49
O/U Win Rate
53.3%
O/U Profit
$$190
O/U ROI
1.8%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
+0.9%
Recommended Picks (4.0+ Edge, ≤12 Spread, ≥65% Confidence)
Total Recommended
26
Completed
26
Covered
14
Failed
12
Pushes
0
Pending
0
Win Rate
53.8%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$72.60
ROI
2.8%
Over/Under Performance (Recommended Picks Only)
O/U Bets
26
O/U Wins
10
O/U Losses
16
O/U Win Rate
38.5%
O/U Profit
$-691.00
O/U ROI
-26.6%
Breakeven Rate
52.4%
Edge
-13.9%
Game Pick Spread Edge Predicted Actual Result
Colorado State 85 @ San José State 73 Colorado State (82.3%) Colorado State -7.5 +10.3 +2.8 -12.0 COVERED
Jacksonville 85 @ North Florida 61 Jacksonville (76.3%) Jacksonville -1.5 +9.9 +8.4 -24.0 COVERED
Brown 80 @ Cornell 86 Cornell (75.4%) Cornell -9.5 +9.8 -0.3 +6.0 FAILED
Stephen F. Austin 77 @ Houston Christian 56 Stephen F. Austin (76.4%) Stephen F. Austin -8.5 +9.7 +1.2 -21.0 COVERED
Alabama #17 71 @ Tennessee #22 69 Tennessee (85.7%) Tennessee -4.5 +9.7 -5.2 -2.0 FAILED
Missouri State 81 @ Sam Houston 86 Sam Houston (81.0%) Sam Houston -7.8 +9.4 -1.6 +5.0 FAILED
Liberty 81 @ Jacksonville State 78 Liberty (78.6%) Liberty -3.5 +9.3 +5.8 -3.0 FAILED
William & Mary 91 @ North Carolina A&T 88 William & Mary (73.3%) William & Mary -6.2 +9.2 +2.9 -3.0 FAILED
Georgetown 84 @ Xavier 91 Xavier (74.4%) Xavier -4.5 +9.1 -4.6 +7.0 COVERED
St. Francis (PA) 64 @ Central Connecticut 69 Central Connecticut (83.3%) Central Connecticut -8.5 +9.0 -0.5 +5.0 FAILED
TCU 77 @ Kansas State 68 TCU (77.2%) TCU -3.2 +9.0 +5.8 -9.0 COVERED
Utah 60 @ Arizona State 73 Arizona State (85.7%) Arizona State -6.5 +8.8 -2.3 +13.0 COVERED
Boise State 69 @ Fresno State 53 Boise State (80.5%) Boise State -7.2 +8.8 +1.5 -16.0 COVERED
Hawai'i 87 @ Cal State Fullerton 85 Hawai'i (70.1%) Hawai'i -3.5 +8.6 +5.1 -2.0 FAILED
Florida Gulf Coast 63 @ Stetson 78 Florida Gulf Coast (73.2%) Florida Gulf Coast -2.5 +8.4 +5.9 +15.0 FAILED
Lipscomb 80 @ Eastern Kentucky 77 Lipscomb (78.3%) Lipscomb -2.5 +8.3 +5.8 -3.0 COVERED
Villanova 57 @ St. John's #15 89 St. John's (75.0%) St. John's -7.5 +8.3 -0.8 +32.0 COVERED
Syracuse 83 @ Wake Forest 88 Wake Forest (86.2%) Wake Forest -4.0 +8.0 -4.0 +5.0 COVERED
Valparaiso 79 @ Evansville 80 Valparaiso (70.1%) Valparaiso -4.5 +8.0 +3.5 +1.0 FAILED
Southern Indiana 70 @ Little Rock 89 Little Rock (79.8%) Little Rock -6.2 +8.0 -1.8 +19.0 COVERED
NC State 90 @ Notre Dame 96 NC State (81.2%) NC State -6.8 +7.6 +0.9 +6.0 FAILED
Yale 60 @ Columbia 54 Yale (85.0%) Yale -5.5 +7.5 +2.0 -6.0 COVERED
Chicago State 61 @ Wagner 80 Wagner (79.7%) Wagner -5.5 +7.4 -1.9 +19.0 COVERED
Massachusetts 62 @ Bowling Green 81 Bowling Green (81.3%) Bowling Green -5.8 +7.0 -1.3 +19.0 COVERED
Alabama State 89 @ Alabama A&M 88 Alabama A&M (70.0%) Alabama A&M -2.5 +6.4 -3.9 -1.0 FAILED
Gonzaga #9 59 @ Saint Mary's 70 Gonzaga (82.5%) Gonzaga -2.5 +6.3 +3.8 +11.0 FAILED
Underdog ML Strategy
Underdog Picks
1
Wins
0
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
0.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$0
ROI
0.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
East Tennessee State 76, Mercer 82 [6] East Tennessee State 75.0% N/A N/A LOSS
75% Confidence + 10% Edge Strategy
Edge Bets
2
Wins
1
Losses
1
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$-18
ROI
-9.0%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
NC State 90, Notre Dame 96 [6] NC State 81.2% -285 +10.2% LOSS
North Florida 61, Jacksonville 85 [24] Jacksonville 76.3% -122 +23.7% WIN
5% Edge Strategy
5% Edge Picks
4
Wins
2
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
50.0%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$-87
ROI
-21.8%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
North Florida 61, Jacksonville 85 [24] Jacksonville 76.3% -122 +23.7% WIN
Alabama A&M 88, Alabama State 89 [1] Alabama A&M 70.0% -135 +14.9% LOSS
NC State 90, Notre Dame 96 [6] NC State 81.2% -285 +10.2% LOSS
St. Francis (PA) 64, Central Connecticut 69 [5] Central Connecticut 83.3% -325 +10.0% WIN
10% Edge ML Strategy
Edge Bets (10%+)
3
Wins
1
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
33.3%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$-118
ROI
-39.3%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
North Florida 61, Jacksonville 85 [24] Jacksonville 76.3% -122 +23.7% WIN
Alabama A&M 88, Alabama State 89 [1] Alabama A&M 70.0% -135 +14.9% LOSS
NC State 90, Notre Dame 96 [6] NC State 81.2% -285 +10.2% LOSS
Top 3 Moneyline EV Strategy
Top 3 EV Bets
3
Wins
1
Losses
2
Pending
0
Win Rate
33.3%
Profit ($100/bet)
$$-118
ROI
-39.3%
Game Pick Confidence Moneyline Edge Result
Jacksonville @ North Florida Jacksonville 76.3% -122 +23.7% WIN
Alabama State @ Alabama A&M Alabama A&M 70.0% -135 +14.9% LOSS
NC State @ Notre Dame NC State 81.2% -285 +10.2% LOSS