The Lab Analytics|College Baseball
2026
The 2026 Men’s College World Series begins Friday, June 12 at Charles Schwab Field in Omaha. Eight teams, two double-elimination brackets, one best-of-three championship final. Our model makes Georgia the favorite at 44.2% to win the title. The SEC placed 5 of the eight teams in the field.
10,000 Monte Carlo simulations of the remaining bracket, updated through last night's games. Full 64-team table on the Championship Odds page.
| # | Team | Finals | Champion |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Georgia SEED 3 | 57.8% | |
| 2 | North Carolina SEED 5 | 56.8% | |
| 3 | Oklahoma | 27.0% | |
| 4 | West Virginia | 30.6% | |
| 5 | Texas SEED 6 | 10.9% | |
| 6 | Alabama SEED 7 | 4.3% | |
| 7 | Troy | 12.6% | |
| 8 | Ole Miss | — |
| Date | Matchup | Result / Model Pick |
|---|---|---|
| Fri, Jun 122:00 PM ET | Troy vs West Virginia | Troy 5, West Virginia 7 · Final |
| Fri, Jun 127:00 PM ET | Ole Miss vs North Carolina | Ole Miss 2, North Carolina 6 · Final |
| Sat, Jun 133:00 PM ET | Oklahoma vs Alabama | Oklahoma 9, Alabama 0 · Final |
| Sat, Jun 138:45 PM ET | Texas vs Georgia | Texas 1, Georgia 7 · Final |
| Sun, Jun 142:00 PM ET | Troy vs Ole Miss | Troy 12, Ole Miss 8 · Final |
| Sun, Jun 147:12 PM ET | West Virginia vs North Carolina | West Virginia 2, North Carolina 5 · Final |
| Mon, Jun 152:00 PM ET | Alabama vs Texas | Model: Texas 59% |
| Mon, Jun 157:00 PM ET | Georgia vs Oklahoma | Model: Georgia 62% |
| Tue, Jun 162:00 PM ET | West Virginia vs Troy | Model: West Virginia 64% |
Georgia (51-12) arrive in Omaha ranked No. 2 in our power rankings with a +7.0 SRS, a 4.27 team ERA, and 9.4 runs per game out of the SEC. The model gives them a 44.2% chance to win the national championship — the best mark in the field — and 57.8% to reach the best-of-three finals.
Full team page →North Carolina (51-12) arrive in Omaha ranked No. 5 in our power rankings with a +6.8 SRS, a 3.45 team ERA, and 8.1 runs per game out of the ACC. The model gives them a 18.4% chance to win the national championship — No. 2 among the eight teams — and 56.8% to reach the best-of-three finals.
Full team page →Oklahoma (38-22) arrive in Omaha ranked No. 26 in our power rankings with a +5.0 SRS, a 4.66 team ERA, and 7.1 runs per game out of the SEC. The model gives them a 14.4% chance to win the national championship — No. 3 among the eight teams — and 27.0% to reach the best-of-three finals.
Full team page →West Virginia (44-15) arrive in Omaha ranked No. 19 in our power rankings with a +5.7 SRS, a 3.54 team ERA, and 7.8 runs per game out of the Big 12. The model gives them a 9.3% chance to win the national championship — No. 4 among the eight teams — and 30.6% to reach the best-of-three finals.
Full team page →Texas (45-14) arrive in Omaha ranked No. 3 in our power rankings with a +6.8 SRS, a 3.53 team ERA, and 8.2 runs per game out of the SEC. The model gives them a 8.6% chance to win the national championship — No. 5 among the eight teams — and 10.9% to reach the best-of-three finals.
Full team page →Alabama (42-20) arrive in Omaha ranked No. 22 in our power rankings with a +4.9 SRS, a 3.89 team ERA, and 6.6 runs per game out of the SEC. The model gives them a 2.8% chance to win the national championship — No. 6 among the eight teams — and 4.3% to reach the best-of-three finals.
Full team page →Troy (37-30) arrive in Omaha ranked No. 45 in our power rankings with a +3.2 SRS, a 5.46 team ERA, and 7.1 runs per game out of the Sun Belt. The model gives them a 2.3% chance to win the national championship — No. 7 among the eight teams — and 12.6% to reach the best-of-three finals.
Full team page →Ole Miss (41-23) arrive in Omaha ranked No. 10 in our power rankings with a +5.3 SRS, a 4.08 team ERA, and 6.8 runs per game out of the SEC. The model gives them a — chance to win the national championship — No. 8 among the eight teams — and — to reach the best-of-three finals.
Full team page →