The Lab Analytics|College Baseball

2026
2026 College World Series · Bracket One · Game 1
Troy 37-30
vs
Friday, June 12, 2026 · 2:00 PM ET · Charles Schwab Field, Omaha
Troy 5  —  West Virginia 7Final
Model pick: West Virginia (64%) — correct

No. 45 Troy (37-30) meet No. 19 West Virginia (44-15) at Charles Schwab Field in Omaha. West Virginia hold the edge on both sides of the ball — 7.8 runs per game and a 3.54 team ERA. Our model makes West Virginia the favorite at 64%, with tournament-calibrated probabilities from 10,000 bracket simulations.

Road to Omaha

Regionals · 4-1
L 5-10 vs Miami (FL)
W 15-7 vs Rider
W 9-6 vs Miami (FL)
W 16-11 vs Florida
W 10-2 vs Florida
Super Regional · 2-0
W 12-2 vs Little Rock
W 7-2 vs Little Rock
Regionals · 4-1
W 10-1 vs Binghamton
L 9-11 vs Kentucky
W 10-5 vs Wake Forest
W 11-9 vs Kentucky
W 6-5 vs Kentucky
Super Regional · 2-0
W 12-2 vs Cal Poly
W 17-1 vs Cal Poly

Team Comparison

TroyWest Virginia
#45Power Rank#19
37-30Record44-15
Sun Belt 18-14ConferenceBig 12 22-9
+3.23SRS+5.65
7.1Runs / Game7.8
5.46Team ERA3.54
0.779Team wOBA0.757
1.54WHIP1.25
8.7K/99.1
721Home Runs473
0.975Fielding %0.980
7-3Last 108-2
6-4Neutral Sites5-2
10-14vs SRS Top 5013-9

Players to Watch

Top Hitter
Jimmy Janicki
0.344 AVG · 1.084 OPS · 21 HR
Power
Blake Cavill
14 HR · 0.925 OPS
Ace
Hayden SmithP
4-0 · 3.24 ERA · 30 K
Bullpen Leader
Dylan AlonsoP
7 SV · 4.63 ERA · 10.7 K/9
Top Hitter
Gavin Kelly
0.375 AVG · 1.174 OPS · 17 HR
Power
Sean Smith
10 HR · 0.945 OPS
Ace
Maxx YehlP
9-3 · 2.13 ERA · 112 K
Bullpen Leader
David PerezP
6 SV · 5.00 ERA · 10.5 K/9

2026 Head-to-Head

06-12-2026Troy 5, West Virginia 7

Common Opponents

OpponentTroyWest Virginia
MarylandW 3/6 · L 3/7 · L 3/8W 3/10
MarshallL 4/24 · W 4/25 · W 4/26W 3/24 · W 4/8 · W 5/5
Ga. SouthernL 3/27 · L 3/28 · W 3/29W 2/13 · W 2/14 · W 2/14