The Lab Analytics|College Baseball

2026
2026 College World Series · Bracket One · Game 3
vs
Sunday, June 14, 2026 · 7:12 PM ET · Charles Schwab Field, Omaha
West Virginia 2  —  North Carolina 5Final
Model pick: North Carolina (52%) — correct

No. 19 West Virginia (44-15) meet No. 5 North Carolina (51-12) at Charles Schwab Field in Omaha. North Carolina hold the edge on both sides of the ball — 8.1 runs per game and a 3.45 team ERA. Our model makes North Carolina the favorite at 52%, with tournament-calibrated probabilities from 10,000 bracket simulations.

Road to Omaha

Regionals · 4-1
W 10-1 vs Binghamton
L 9-11 vs Kentucky
W 10-5 vs Wake Forest
W 11-9 vs Kentucky
W 6-5 vs Kentucky
Super Regional · 2-0
W 12-2 vs Cal Poly
W 17-1 vs Cal Poly
Regionals · 3-0
W 8-0 vs VCU
W 7-5 vs East Carolina
W 9-3 vs East Carolina
Super Regional · 2-1
L 5-9 vs Southern California
W 4-0 vs Southern California
W 4-3 vs Southern California

Team Comparison

West VirginiaNorth Carolina
#19Power Rank#5
44-15Record51-12
Big 12 22-9ConferenceACC 24-8
+5.65SRS+6.81
7.8Runs / Game8.1
3.54Team ERA3.45
0.757Team wOBA0.815
1.25WHIP1.35
9.1K/98.8
473Home Runs679
0.980Fielding %0.982
8-2Last 108-2
5-2Neutral Sites6-1
13-9vs SRS Top 5021-9

Players to Watch

Top Hitter
Gavin Kelly
0.375 AVG · 1.174 OPS · 17 HR
Power
Sean Smith
10 HR · 0.945 OPS
Ace
Maxx YehlP
9-3 · 2.13 ERA · 112 K
Bullpen Leader
David PerezP
6 SV · 5.00 ERA · 10.5 K/9
Top Hitter
Owen Hull
0.389 AVG · 1.096 OPS · 8 HR
Power
Cooper Nicholson
16 HR · 0.995 OPS
Ace
Jason DeCaroP
11-2 · 2.31 ERA · 93 K
Bullpen Leader
Walker McDuffieP
6 SV · 3.26 ERA · 11.2 K/9

2026 Head-to-Head

06-14-2026West Virginia 2, North Carolina 5

Common Opponents

OpponentWest VirginiaNorth Carolina
PittsburghL 4/21W 5/8 · W 5/9 · W 5/10