Baseball Recap — Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Confidence	W/L	Win Rate
50%–60%	5/8	62%
60%–70%	3/6	50%
70%–80%	8/8	100%
80%–90%	4/5	80%
90%+	2/2	100%

High 93% ✓ WIN

East Carolina PICK

92.6% win prob

24

@

William & Mary

7.4% win prob

3

Predicted Winner East Carolina (92.6%)

High 90% ✓ WIN

VMI PICK

90.4% win prob

15

@

Norfolk St.

9.6% win prob

10

Predicted Winner VMI (90.4%)

High 86% ✓ WIN

Xavier

14.4% win prob

3

@

Oregon PICK

85.6% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Oregon (85.6%)

High 85% ✓ WIN

Presbyterian

14.9% win prob

2

@

Fla. Atlantic PICK

85.1% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Fla. Atlantic (85.1%)

Medium 85% ✓ WIN

San Diego

15.5% win prob

6

@

Southern California PICK

84.5% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Southern California (84.5%)

Medium 84% ✓ WIN

Delaware St.

16.2% win prob

6

@

UMBC PICK

83.8% win prob

14

Predicted Winner UMBC (83.8%)

Medium 78% ✓ WIN

Lafayette

21.6% win prob

11

@

La Salle PICK

78.4% win prob

16

Predicted Winner La Salle (78.4%)

Medium 77% ✓ WIN

Gonzaga

22.8% win prob

2

@

Minnesota PICK

77.2% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Minnesota (77.2%)

Medium 77% ✓ WIN

Marshall

23.4% win prob

8

@

Louisville PICK

76.6% win prob

18

Predicted Winner Louisville (76.6%)

Medium 73% ✓ WIN

Rider

27.4% win prob

6

@

Hofstra PICK

72.6% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Hofstra (72.6%)

Medium 72% ✓ WIN

Marist

27.5% win prob

1

@

St. John's (NY) PICK

72.5% win prob

3

Predicted Winner St. John's (NY) (72.5%)

Medium 72% ✓ WIN

South Dakota St.

27.6% win prob

0

@

Kansas St. PICK

72.4% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Kansas St. (72.4%)

Medium 72% ✓ WIN

Prairie View

28.2% win prob

6

@

Stetson PICK

71.8% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Stetson (71.8%)

Medium 70% ✓ WIN

Southeastern La.

29.6% win prob

3

@

South Alabama PICK

70.4% win prob

10

Predicted Winner South Alabama (70.4%)

Low 67% ✓ WIN

Miami (FL) PICK

66.8% win prob

9

@

UCF

33.2% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Miami (FL) (66.8%)

Low 62% ✓ WIN

Texas Southern

37.7% win prob

4

@

A&M-Corpus Christi PICK

62.3% win prob

5

Predicted Winner A&M-Corpus Christi (62.3%)

Low 62% ✓ WIN

Belmont PICK

62.1% win prob

11

@

Tennessee Tech

37.9% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Belmont (62.1%)

Low 58% ✓ WIN

Bradley

42.4% win prob

6

@

Lindenwood PICK

57.6% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Lindenwood (57.6%)

Low 57% ✓ WIN

Penn St.

42.5% win prob

4

@

Georgetown PICK

57.5% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Georgetown (57.5%)

Low 57% ✓ WIN

Pacific

43.4% win prob

0

@

Sacramento St. PICK

56.6% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Sacramento St. (56.6%)

Low 55% ✓ WIN

Col. of Charleston

44.6% win prob

9

@

Wofford PICK

55.4% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Wofford (55.4%)

Low 55% ✓ WIN

North Dakota St.

44.8% win prob

1

@

Nebraska PICK

55.2% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Nebraska (55.2%)

High 89% ✗ LOSS

Fordham

11.0% win prob

8

@

Rutgers PICK

89.0% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Rutgers (89.0%)

Low 67% ✗ LOSS

UNC Greensboro

32.6% win prob

9

@

N.C. A&T PICK

67.4% win prob

7

Predicted Winner N.C. A&T (67.4%)

Low 66% ✗ LOSS

Princeton PICK

66.1% win prob

0

@

Winthrop

33.9% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Princeton (66.1%)

Low 65% ✗ LOSS

Nevada PICK

64.5% win prob

8

@

Stanford

35.5% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Nevada (64.5%)

Low 60% ✗ LOSS

UTSA PICK

59.7% win prob

5

@

Texas Tech

40.3% win prob

10

Predicted Winner UTSA (59.7%)

Low 54% ✗ LOSS

Seton Hall

45.6% win prob

8

@

NJIT PICK

54.4% win prob

5

Predicted Winner NJIT (54.4%)

Low 54% ✗ LOSS

Saint Peter's

46.5% win prob

12

@

Lehigh PICK

53.5% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Lehigh (53.5%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Non Div I - West Chester PICK

nan% win prob

14

@

Saint Joseph's

nan% win prob

10

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Abilene Christian PICK

nan% win prob

1

@

Incarnate Word

nan% win prob

13

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Non Div I - Colorado Mesa PICK

nan% win prob

4

@

Utah Valley

nan% win prob

6

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Merrimack PICK

nan% win prob

8

@

Army

nan% win prob

4

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

UT-Arlington PICK

nan% win prob

1

@

Oklahoma

nan% win prob

6

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Non Div I - Xavier (LA) PICK

nan% win prob

4

@

Nicholls

nan% win prob

5

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

High 91%

Ark.-Pine Bluff

9.0% win prob

—

@

Memphis PICK

91.0% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Memphis (91.0%)

Medium 79%

McNeese

21.4% win prob

—

@

Louisiana PICK

78.6% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Louisiana (78.6%)

Medium 72%

Northwestern St. PICK

71.7% win prob

—

@

Grambling

28.3% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Northwestern St. (71.7%)

Low 61%

Oakland PICK

60.6% win prob

—

@

Akron

39.4% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Oakland (60.6%)

Low 57%

Kansas

43.2% win prob

—

@

TCU PICK

56.8% win prob

—

Predicted Winner TCU (56.8%)

Low 54%

Monmouth

46.2% win prob

—

@

Fairleigh Dickinson PICK

53.8% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Fairleigh Dickinson (53.8%)

Low 51%

Evansville

49.2% win prob

—

@

Miami (OH) PICK

50.8% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Miami (OH) (50.8%)

Low nan%

Towson PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Geo. Washington

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Northeastern PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Central Connecticut

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Non Div I - Illinois Wesleyan PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Eastern Ill.

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Central Michigan PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Youngstown St.

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)