Baseball Recap — Tuesday, March 17, 2026

Confidence	W/L	Win Rate
50%–60%	8/12	67%
60%–70%	8/17	47%
70%–80%	12/15	80%
80%–90%	9/11	82%
90%+	10/12	83%

High 98% ✓ WIN

Grand Canyon

2.0% win prob

3

@

Arizona St. PICK

98.0% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Arizona St. (98.0%)

High 97% ✓ WIN

Jackson St.

2.5% win prob

1

@

Mississippi St. PICK

97.5% win prob

17

Predicted Winner Mississippi St. (97.5%)

High 96% ✓ WIN

Grambling

3.5% win prob

1

@

LSU PICK

96.5% win prob

7

Predicted Winner LSU (96.5%)

High 96% ✓ WIN

Pepperdine

3.9% win prob

4

@

UCLA PICK

96.1% win prob

5

Predicted Winner UCLA (96.1%)

High 96% ✓ WIN

Bethune-Cookman

4.4% win prob

1

@

Florida St. PICK

95.6% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Florida St. (95.6%)

High 95% ✓ WIN

Monmouth

4.9% win prob

3

@

Rutgers PICK

95.1% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Rutgers (95.1%)

High 93% ✓ WIN

Alabama A&M

6.7% win prob

8

@

UAB PICK

93.3% win prob

9

Predicted Winner UAB (93.3%)

High 92% ✓ WIN

The Citadel

8.5% win prob

5

@

Georgia PICK

91.5% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Georgia (91.5%)

High 91% ✓ WIN

Austin Peay

9.2% win prob

5

@

Ole Miss PICK

90.8% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Ole Miss (90.8%)

High 91% ✓ WIN

San Diego St.

9.2% win prob

4

@

Southern California PICK

90.8% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Southern California (90.8%)

High 90% ✓ WIN

Eastern Ky.

10.3% win prob

3

@

Tennessee PICK

89.7% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Tennessee (89.7%)

High 89% ✓ WIN

Texas St.

10.7% win prob

6

@

Texas A&M PICK

89.3% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Texas A&M (89.3%)

High 87% ✓ WIN

Georgetown

12.7% win prob

4

@

Virginia PICK

87.3% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Virginia (87.3%)

High 87% ✓ WIN

Northern Colo.

12.9% win prob

2

@

Arkansas PICK

87.1% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Arkansas (87.1%)

High 86% ✓ WIN

New Mexico St.

13.9% win prob

6

@

TCU PICK

86.1% win prob

16

Predicted Winner TCU (86.1%)

Medium 85% ✓ WIN

Sacred Heart

15.4% win prob

4

@

Boston College PICK

84.6% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Boston College (84.6%)

Medium 84% ✓ WIN

South Dakota St.

15.6% win prob

6

@

Oklahoma St. PICK

84.4% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Oklahoma St. (84.4%)

Medium 84% ✓ WIN

Columbia

16.4% win prob

5

@

UCF PICK

83.6% win prob

8

Predicted Winner UCF (83.6%)

Medium 83% ✓ WIN

Stetson

17.2% win prob

1

@

Florida PICK

82.8% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Florida (82.8%)

Medium 79% ✓ WIN

Southern Miss. PICK

79.0% win prob

4

@

Nicholls

21.0% win prob

0

Predicted Winner Southern Miss. (79.0%)

Medium 79% ✓ WIN

BYU PICK

78.8% win prob

18

@

Utah Tech

21.2% win prob

5

Predicted Winner BYU (78.8%)

Medium 79% ✓ WIN

Jacksonville

21.3% win prob

3

@

South Fla. PICK

78.7% win prob

13

Predicted Winner South Fla. (78.7%)

Medium 78% ✓ WIN

Georgia Tech

22.1% win prob

2

@

Auburn PICK

77.9% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Auburn (77.9%)

Medium 76% ✓ WIN

Central Ark.

23.9% win prob

4

@

Louisiana Tech PICK

76.1% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Louisiana Tech (76.1%)

Medium 76% ✓ WIN

Elon

24.2% win prob

3

@

East Carolina PICK

75.8% win prob

4

Predicted Winner East Carolina (75.8%)

Medium 75% ✓ WIN

Eastern Ill. PICK

75.4% win prob

2

@

Ark.-Pine Bluff

24.6% win prob

0

Predicted Winner Eastern Ill. (75.4%)

Medium 75% ✓ WIN

Oral Roberts

24.8% win prob

1

@

Little Rock PICK

75.2% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Little Rock (75.2%)

Medium 73% ✓ WIN

Troy PICK

73.1% win prob

11

@

Alabama St.

26.9% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Troy (73.1%)

Medium 73% ✓ WIN

New Orleans

27.2% win prob

2

@

Tulane PICK

72.8% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Tulane (72.8%)

Medium 72% ✓ WIN

Cincinnati PICK

71.8% win prob

6

@

Utah Valley

28.2% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Cincinnati (71.8%)

Medium 71% ✓ WIN

Wofford PICK

71.3% win prob

9

@

Presbyterian

28.7% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Wofford (71.3%)

Low 70% ✓ WIN

Indiana PICK

69.5% win prob

5

@

Vanderbilt

30.5% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Indiana (69.5%)

Low 69% ✓ WIN

New Haven

30.5% win prob

5

@

Hofstra PICK

69.5% win prob

15

Predicted Winner Hofstra (69.5%)

Low 69% ✓ WIN

Sacramento St. PICK

69.0% win prob

8

@

San Francisco

31.0% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Sacramento St. (69.0%)

Low 69% ✓ WIN

Kansas St. PICK

68.9% win prob

13

@

Baylor

31.1% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Kansas St. (68.9%)

Low 66% ✓ WIN

Mercer PICK

66.4% win prob

9

@

Florida A&M

33.6% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Mercer (66.4%)

Low 66% ✓ WIN

Clemson PICK

65.6% win prob

3

@

Col. of Charleston

34.4% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Clemson (65.6%)

Low 64% ✓ WIN

North Florida

36.1% win prob

6

@

Charleston So. PICK

63.9% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Charleston So. (63.9%)

Low 64% ✓ WIN

Ga. Southern

36.3% win prob

6

@

Kennesaw St. PICK

63.7% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Kennesaw St. (63.7%)

Low 59% ✓ WIN

William & Mary

40.6% win prob

6

@

Longwood PICK

59.4% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Longwood (59.4%)

Low 59% ✓ WIN

Washington St.

40.6% win prob

5

@

Utah PICK

59.4% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Utah (59.4%)

Low 59% ✓ WIN

LMU (CA)

41.3% win prob

7

@

Long Beach St. PICK

58.7% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Long Beach St. (58.7%)

Low 57% ✓ WIN

Maryland

43.4% win prob

5

@

Richmond PICK

56.6% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Richmond (56.6%)

Low 56% ✓ WIN

Alabama

56.3% win prob

3

@

South Alabama PICK

43.7% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Alabama (56.3%)

Low 55% ✓ WIN

Winthrop PICK

55.3% win prob

8

@

Pacific

44.7% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Winthrop (55.3%)

Low 54% ✓ WIN

Holy Cross

45.7% win prob

1

@

Bryant PICK

54.3% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Bryant (54.3%)

Low 53% ✓ WIN

Seton Hall PICK

52.8% win prob

14

@

Wagner

47.2% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Seton Hall (52.8%)

High 92% ✗ LOSS

North Dakota St.

8.2% win prob

7

@

Minnesota PICK

91.8% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Minnesota (91.8%)

High 91% ✗ LOSS

Tarleton St.

9.0% win prob

6

@

Texas PICK

91.0% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Texas (91.0%)

High 89% ✗ LOSS

Oklahoma PICK

89.4% win prob

0

@

Southeastern La.

10.6% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Oklahoma (89.4%)

High 86% ✗ LOSS

Merrimack

14.2% win prob

4

@

Northeastern PICK

85.8% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Northeastern (85.8%)

Medium 77% ✗ LOSS

Samford

22.9% win prob

7

@

Jacksonville St. PICK

77.1% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Jacksonville St. (77.1%)

Medium 73% ✗ LOSS

Cal St. Fullerton PICK

72.6% win prob

3

@

UNLV

27.4% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Cal St. Fullerton (72.6%)

Medium 70% ✗ LOSS

Tennessee Tech

29.6% win prob

10

@

North Ala. PICK

70.4% win prob

9

Predicted Winner North Ala. (70.4%)

Low 69% ✗ LOSS

Liberty PICK

69.5% win prob

0

@

Wake Forest

30.5% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Liberty (69.5%)

Low 69% ✗ LOSS

Nebraska

31.2% win prob

8

@

Wichita St. PICK

68.8% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Wichita St. (68.8%)

Low 69% ✗ LOSS

UTSA PICK

68.6% win prob

11

@

Houston Christian

31.4% win prob

12

Predicted Winner UTSA (68.6%)

Low 67% ✗ LOSS

Saint Joseph's PICK

66.9% win prob

0

@

Delaware

33.1% win prob

18

Predicted Winner Saint Joseph's (66.9%)

Low 67% ✗ LOSS

New Mexico

33.1% win prob

6

@

Arizona PICK

66.9% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Arizona (66.9%)

Low 66% ✗ LOSS

Duke PICK

66.2% win prob

3

@

Campbell

33.8% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Duke (66.2%)

Low 64% ✗ LOSS

Oregon St. PICK

64.1% win prob

1

@

Portland

35.9% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Oregon St. (64.1%)

Low 62% ✗ LOSS

CSUN

37.8% win prob

11

@

Fresno St. PICK

62.2% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Fresno St. (62.2%)

Low 62% ✗ LOSS

UConn

38.2% win prob

9

@

California PICK

61.8% win prob

3

Predicted Winner California (61.8%)

Low 59% ✗ LOSS

LIU PICK

58.6% win prob

3

@

Iona

41.4% win prob

5

Predicted Winner LIU (58.6%)

Low 54% ✗ LOSS

Texas Tech PICK

54.2% win prob

10

@

DBU

45.8% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Texas Tech (54.2%)

Low 54% ✗ LOSS

Charlotte

46.4% win prob

11

@

South Carolina PICK

53.6% win prob

8

Predicted Winner South Carolina (53.6%)

Low 52% ✗ LOSS

Murray St.

47.5% win prob

5

@

Middle Tenn. PICK

52.5% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Middle Tenn. (52.5%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Non Div I - Champion Christian College PICK

nan% win prob

4

@

Alcorn

nan% win prob

10

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Non Div I - Houston-Victoria PICK

nan% win prob

20

@

Texas Southern

nan% win prob

14

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

NC State PICK

nan% win prob

14

@

UNC-Wilmington

nan% win prob

2

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Non Div I - Fresno Pacific PICK

nan% win prob

5

@

Nevada

nan% win prob

15

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Fla. Gulf Coast PICK

nan% win prob

12

@

Fla. Atlantic

nan% win prob

4

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

SFA PICK

nan% win prob

4

@

UT-Arlington

nan% win prob

1

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Sam Houston St. PICK

nan% win prob

7

@

Lamar

nan% win prob

4

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Non Div I - Saint Martinâs PICK

nan% win prob

1

@

Washington

nan% win prob

13

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

High 97%

Northern Ky.

2.6% win prob

—

@

Louisville PICK

97.4% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Louisville (97.4%)

High 93%

Penn St.

6.6% win prob

—

@

West Virginia PICK

93.4% win prob

—

Predicted Winner West Virginia (93.4%)

High 91%

Mississippi Val.

9.4% win prob

—

@

Lindenwood PICK

90.6% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Lindenwood (90.6%)

High 87%

Prairie View

13.1% win prob

—

@

McNeese PICK

86.9% win prob

—

Predicted Winner McNeese (86.9%)

High 86%

Coppin St.

14.3% win prob

—

@

Villanova PICK

85.7% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Villanova (85.7%)

High 85%

Siena

14.9% win prob

—

@

Binghamton PICK

85.1% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Binghamton (85.1%)

Medium 81%

Marshall

18.7% win prob

—

@

Kentucky PICK

81.3% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Kentucky (81.3%)

Medium 79%

UMBC PICK

78.6% win prob

—

@

Delaware St.

21.4% win prob

—

Predicted Winner UMBC (78.6%)

Medium 78%

Iowa PICK

78.3% win prob

—

@

UIC

21.7% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Iowa (78.3%)

Medium 78%

Missouri PICK

78.2% win prob

—

@

Kansas

21.8% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Missouri (78.2%)

Medium 78%

Gardner-Webb

22.2% win prob

—

@

Western Caro. PICK

77.8% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Western Caro. (77.8%)

Medium 77%

Toledo

22.9% win prob

—

@

Michigan PICK

77.1% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Michigan (77.1%)

Medium 77%

NJIT

23.1% win prob

—

@

Fairfield PICK

76.9% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Fairfield (76.9%)

Medium 76%

Ball St. PICK

76.3% win prob

—

@

Valparaiso

23.7% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Ball St. (76.3%)

Medium 75%

VCU

25.1% win prob

—

@

Virginia Tech PICK

74.9% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Virginia Tech (74.9%)

Medium 75%

Marist

25.3% win prob

—

@

Fairleigh Dickinson PICK

74.7% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Fairleigh Dickinson (74.7%)

Medium 75%

Northwestern St. PICK

74.6% win prob

—

@

Southern U.

25.4% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Northwestern St. (74.6%)

Medium 74%

Arkansas St. PICK

74.1% win prob

—

@

Missouri St.

25.9% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Arkansas St. (74.1%)

Medium 74%

UT Martin

26.0% win prob

—

@

Southern Ill. PICK

74.0% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Southern Ill. (74.0%)

Medium 71%

Le Moyne

28.8% win prob

—

@

Bucknell PICK

71.2% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Bucknell (71.2%)

Medium 71%

ETSU PICK

70.7% win prob

—

@

UNC Asheville

29.3% win prob

—

Predicted Winner ETSU (70.7%)

Medium 70%

Illinois PICK

70.0% win prob

—

@

Indiana St.

30.0% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Illinois (70.0%)

Low 69%

Purdue PICK

68.8% win prob

—

@

Butler

31.2% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Purdue (68.8%)

Low 68%

Oakland PICK

67.9% win prob

—

@

Eastern Mich.

32.1% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Oakland (67.9%)

Low 65%

Mercyhurst

34.9% win prob

—

@

Akron PICK

65.1% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Akron (65.1%)

Low 65%

Milwaukee PICK

64.7% win prob

—

@

Western Ill.

35.3% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Milwaukee (64.7%)

Low 63%

Radford PICK

62.8% win prob

—

@

N.C. A&T

37.2% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Radford (62.8%)

Low 61%

Southern Ind. PICK

61.0% win prob

—

@

Bellarmine

39.0% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Southern Ind. (61.0%)

Low 60%

App State

40.4% win prob

—

@

High Point PICK

59.6% win prob

—

Predicted Winner High Point (59.6%)

Low 59%

Lafayette

41.0% win prob

—

@

Manhattan PICK

59.0% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Manhattan (59.0%)

Low 57%

Western Ky. PICK

56.7% win prob

—

@

Belmont

43.3% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Western Ky. (56.7%)

Low 56%

SIUE

44.0% win prob

—

@

Illinois St. PICK

56.0% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Illinois St. (56.0%)

Low 54%

Wright St.

46.1% win prob

—

@

Kent St. PICK

53.9% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Kent St. (53.9%)

Low 53%

Lipscomb PICK

53.4% win prob

—

@

Evansville

46.6% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Lipscomb (53.4%)

Low 52%

St. John's (NY)

48.3% win prob

—

@

Stony Brook PICK

51.7% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Stony Brook (51.7%)

Low 51%

Ohio PICK

50.9% win prob

—

@

Morehead St.

49.1% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Ohio (50.9%)

Low 50%

West Ga.

49.6% win prob

—

@

Georgia St. PICK

50.4% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Georgia St. (50.4%)

Low nan%

Non Div I - Findlay PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Bowling Green

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Quinnipiac PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Central Connecticut

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Non Div I - Bethel (MN) PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Western Mich.

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

UAlbany PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Army

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Central Michigan PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Notre Dame

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

UT-Rio Grande Valley PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Rice

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Massachusetts PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Army

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)