Baseball Recap — Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Confidence	W/L	Win Rate
50%–60%	17/28	61%
60%–70%	14/19	74%
70%–80%	12/20	60%
80%–90%	19/22	86%
90%+	2/3	67%

High 94% ✓ WIN

Stonehill

6.4% win prob

1

@

Bryant PICK

93.6% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Bryant (93.6%)

High 90% ✓ WIN

Mississippi Val.

9.9% win prob

0

@

New Orleans PICK

90.1% win prob

14

Predicted Winner New Orleans (90.1%)

High 89% ✓ WIN

Alcorn

10.6% win prob

2

@

Northwestern St. PICK

89.4% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Northwestern St. (89.4%)

High 89% ✓ WIN

Southern Ind.

11.1% win prob

6

@

Missouri PICK

88.9% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Missouri (88.9%)

High 89% ✓ WIN

Alabama A&M

11.4% win prob

4

@

Samford PICK

88.6% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Samford (88.6%)

High 88% ✓ WIN

William & Mary

12.0% win prob

7

@

Virginia PICK

88.0% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Virginia (88.0%)

High 88% ✓ WIN

Evansville

12.5% win prob

11

@

Cincinnati PICK

87.5% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Cincinnati (87.5%)

High 87% ✓ WIN

Ball St.

13.2% win prob

3

@

Kentucky PICK

86.8% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Kentucky (86.8%)

High 87% ✓ WIN

Jackson St.

13.2% win prob

2

@

Nicholls PICK

86.8% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Nicholls (86.8%)

High 87% ✓ WIN

Ohio

13.3% win prob

5

@

Austin Peay PICK

86.7% win prob

18

Predicted Winner Austin Peay (86.7%)

High 86% ✓ WIN

Presbyterian

13.5% win prob

2

@

Fla. Atlantic PICK

86.5% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Fla. Atlantic (86.5%)

High 85% ✓ WIN

Notre Dame PICK

85.3% win prob

11

@

Queens (NC)

14.7% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Notre Dame (85.3%)

High 85% ✓ WIN

Western Mich.

14.8% win prob

2

@

Michigan PICK

85.2% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Michigan (85.2%)

Medium 84% ✓ WIN

West Ga.

15.5% win prob

0

@

Georgia Tech PICK

84.5% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Georgia Tech (84.5%)

Medium 84% ✓ WIN

Arkansas St. PICK

84.4% win prob

12

@

Little Rock

15.6% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Arkansas St. (84.4%)

Medium 84% ✓ WIN

Long Beach St.

15.8% win prob

1

@

Southern California PICK

84.2% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Southern California (84.2%)

Medium 84% ✓ WIN

St. Thomas (MN)

16.4% win prob

2

@

Iowa PICK

83.6% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Iowa (83.6%)

Medium 83% ✓ WIN

Milwaukee

16.6% win prob

1

@

Purdue PICK

83.4% win prob

17

Predicted Winner Purdue (83.4%)

Medium 82% ✓ WIN

UC Riverside

17.9% win prob

10

@

UNLV PICK

82.1% win prob

11

Predicted Winner UNLV (82.1%)

Medium 82% ✓ WIN

Illinois St. PICK

81.8% win prob

8

@

Saint Louis

18.2% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Illinois St. (81.8%)

Medium 80% ✓ WIN

Old Dominion

19.7% win prob

0

@

East Carolina PICK

80.3% win prob

11

Predicted Winner East Carolina (80.3%)

Medium 80% ✓ WIN

Bucknell

20.2% win prob

3

@

North Carolina PICK

79.8% win prob

13

Predicted Winner North Carolina (79.8%)

Medium 79% ✓ WIN

Tennessee Tech

21.3% win prob

2

@

Tennessee PICK

78.7% win prob

20

Predicted Winner Tennessee (78.7%)

Medium 77% ✓ WIN

Navy PICK

76.9% win prob

15

@

Norfolk St.

23.1% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Navy (76.9%)

Medium 77% ✓ WIN

SFA

23.3% win prob

1

@

Texas A&M PICK

76.7% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Texas A&M (76.7%)

Medium 76% ✓ WIN

Liberty PICK

76.1% win prob

12

@

UNC Greensboro

23.9% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Liberty (76.1%)

Medium 75% ✓ WIN

Creighton

24.5% win prob

4

@

LSU PICK

75.5% win prob

8

Predicted Winner LSU (75.5%)

Medium 75% ✓ WIN

San Diego St.

25.2% win prob

2

@

Cal St. Fullerton PICK

74.8% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Cal St. Fullerton (74.8%)

Medium 74% ✓ WIN

St. Bonaventure

25.9% win prob

9

@

Binghamton PICK

74.1% win prob

15

Predicted Winner Binghamton (74.1%)

Medium 73% ✓ WIN

Western Ill.

26.9% win prob

8

@

Illinois PICK

73.1% win prob

21

Predicted Winner Illinois (73.1%)

Medium 73% ✓ WIN

Texas Southern

27.4% win prob

1

@

A&M-Corpus Christi PICK

72.6% win prob

2

Predicted Winner A&M-Corpus Christi (72.6%)

Medium 71% ✓ WIN

Jacksonville St. PICK

70.7% win prob

8

@

North Ala.

29.3% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Jacksonville St. (70.7%)

Medium 70% ✓ WIN

Wagner

29.6% win prob

5

@

Rutgers PICK

70.4% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Rutgers (70.4%)

Low 69% ✓ WIN

Troy

30.8% win prob

3

@

Alabama PICK

69.2% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Alabama (69.2%)

Low 67% ✓ WIN

Southern Ill.

32.5% win prob

6

@

SIUE PICK

67.5% win prob

16

Predicted Winner SIUE (67.5%)

Low 67% ✓ WIN

Maryland

32.7% win prob

3

@

West Virginia PICK

67.3% win prob

10

Predicted Winner West Virginia (67.3%)

Low 67% ✓ WIN

Gonzaga

33.5% win prob

8

@

Minnesota PICK

66.5% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Minnesota (66.5%)

Low 65% ✓ WIN

Fresno St.

34.6% win prob

3

@

Cal Poly PICK

65.4% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Cal Poly (65.4%)

Low 64% ✓ WIN

New Haven

35.9% win prob

0

@

Rhode Island PICK

64.1% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Rhode Island (64.1%)

Low 64% ✓ WIN

Saint Mary's (CA)

36.2% win prob

3

@

UC Santa Barbara PICK

63.8% win prob

13

Predicted Winner UC Santa Barbara (63.8%)

Low 63% ✓ WIN

UAB

36.7% win prob

2

@

Auburn PICK

63.3% win prob

17

Predicted Winner Auburn (63.3%)

Low 63% ✓ WIN

La Salle

37.1% win prob

10

@

Villanova PICK

62.9% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Villanova (62.9%)

Low 63% ✓ WIN

Rice

37.4% win prob

1

@

Houston PICK

62.6% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Houston (62.6%)

Low 62% ✓ WIN

Toledo PICK

62.2% win prob

12

@

Northern Ky.

37.8% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Toledo (62.2%)

Low 62% ✓ WIN

Mercer PICK

61.9% win prob

16

@

Georgia St.

38.1% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Mercer (61.9%)

Low 61% ✓ WIN

Wichita St.

38.6% win prob

5

@

Kansas St. PICK

61.4% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Kansas St. (61.4%)

Low 60% ✓ WIN

Xavier

39.7% win prob

0

@

Oregon PICK

60.3% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Oregon (60.3%)

Low 59% ✓ WIN

Marshall

41.0% win prob

5

@

Louisville PICK

59.0% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Louisville (59.0%)

Low 59% ✓ WIN

Iona

41.1% win prob

2

@

Fordham PICK

58.9% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Fordham (58.9%)

Low 58% ✓ WIN

Charlotte PICK

57.6% win prob

13

@

Campbell

42.4% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Charlotte (57.6%)

Low 57% ✓ WIN

Lipscomb

43.1% win prob

2

@

Memphis PICK

56.9% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Memphis (56.9%)

Low 56% ✓ WIN

Mount St. Mary's

43.6% win prob

4

@

UMBC PICK

56.4% win prob

20

Predicted Winner UMBC (56.4%)

Low 56% ✓ WIN

Ole Miss

43.7% win prob

1

@

Southern Miss. PICK

56.3% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Southern Miss. (56.3%)

Low 55% ✓ WIN

Arizona

44.9% win prob

4

@

Arizona St. PICK

55.1% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Arizona St. (55.1%)

Low 54% ✓ WIN

Eastern Ky.

46.3% win prob

0

@

Middle Tenn. PICK

53.7% win prob

17

Predicted Winner Middle Tenn. (53.7%)

Low 53% ✓ WIN

Florida St.

46.7% win prob

3

@

Florida PICK

53.3% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Florida (53.3%)

Low 53% ✓ WIN

Indiana St.

46.9% win prob

6

@

Vanderbilt PICK

53.1% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Vanderbilt (53.1%)

Low 53% ✓ WIN

UTSA PICK

52.8% win prob

9

@

Texas Tech

47.2% win prob

8

Predicted Winner UTSA (52.8%)

Low 53% ✓ WIN

Kent St. PICK

52.7% win prob

8

@

Ohio St.

47.3% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Kent St. (52.7%)

Low 52% ✓ WIN

Texas

52.1% win prob

15

@

Texas St. PICK

47.9% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Texas (52.1%)

Low 52% ✓ WIN

UC Irvine

48.0% win prob

1

@

UCLA PICK

52.0% win prob

11

Predicted Winner UCLA (52.0%)

Low 51% ✓ WIN

Rider PICK

51.3% win prob

7

@

LIU

48.7% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Rider (51.3%)

Low 51% ✓ WIN

UIC PICK

50.9% win prob

3

@

Northwestern

49.1% win prob

3

Predicted Winner UIC (50.9%)

Low 50% ✓ WIN

Bethune-Cookman PICK

50.2% win prob

7

@

North Florida

49.8% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Bethune-Cookman (50.2%)

High 92% ✗ LOSS

Princeton

7.7% win prob

10

@

Winthrop PICK

92.3% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Winthrop (92.3%)

Medium 82% ✗ LOSS

UMass Lowell

18.1% win prob

7

@

Sacramento St. PICK

81.9% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Sacramento St. (81.9%)

Medium 81% ✗ LOSS

Siena

18.8% win prob

14

@

Stony Brook PICK

81.2% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Stony Brook (81.2%)

Medium 80% ✗ LOSS

Ga. Southern

19.7% win prob

6

@

Clemson PICK

80.3% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Clemson (80.3%)

Medium 78% ✗ LOSS

South Carolina PICK

78.0% win prob

3

@

The Citadel

22.0% win prob

8

Predicted Winner South Carolina (78.0%)

Medium 78% ✗ LOSS

Missouri St. PICK

77.6% win prob

6

@

Southeast Mo. St.

22.4% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Missouri St. (77.6%)

Medium 75% ✗ LOSS

Pittsburgh PICK

75.5% win prob

3

@

Santa Clara

24.5% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Pittsburgh (75.5%)

Medium 75% ✗ LOSS

Western Caro.

25.2% win prob

13

@

App State PICK

74.8% win prob

3

Predicted Winner App State (74.8%)

Medium 73% ✗ LOSS

Elon

26.9% win prob

2

@

NC State PICK

73.1% win prob

0

Predicted Winner NC State (73.1%)

Medium 72% ✗ LOSS

California PICK

71.6% win prob

2

@

San Jose St.

28.4% win prob

3

Predicted Winner California (71.6%)

Medium 70% ✗ LOSS

Utah Tech PICK

70.2% win prob

2

@

BYU

29.8% win prob

19

Predicted Winner Utah Tech (70.2%)

Medium 70% ✗ LOSS

Duke PICK

70.0% win prob

6

@

High Point

30.0% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Duke (70.0%)

Low 70% ✗ LOSS

Bowling Green

30.2% win prob

9

@

Dayton PICK

69.8% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Dayton (69.8%)

Low 69% ✗ LOSS

Fairfield

31.1% win prob

6

@

St. John's (NY) PICK

68.9% win prob

4

Predicted Winner St. John's (NY) (68.9%)

Low 67% ✗ LOSS

California Baptist PICK

66.9% win prob

2

@

LMU (CA)

33.1% win prob

7

Predicted Winner California Baptist (66.9%)

Low 65% ✗ LOSS

Wright St. PICK

64.6% win prob

4

@

Indiana

35.4% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Wright St. (64.6%)

Low 63% ✗ LOSS

Butler PICK

62.9% win prob

10

@

Bellarmine

37.1% win prob

17

Predicted Winner Butler (62.9%)

Low 59% ✗ LOSS

Kansas PICK

58.9% win prob

4

@

TCU

41.1% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Kansas (58.9%)

Low 58% ✗ LOSS

Wofford PICK

58.1% win prob

2

@

USC Upstate

41.9% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Wofford (58.1%)

Low 58% ✗ LOSS

Penn St. PICK

57.6% win prob

2

@

Georgetown

42.4% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Penn St. (57.6%)

Low 57% ✗ LOSS

Morehead St.

42.9% win prob

16

@

UNC Asheville PICK

57.1% win prob

11

Predicted Winner UNC Asheville (57.1%)

Low 56% ✗ LOSS

Gardner-Webb PICK

56.2% win prob

10

@

Davidson

43.8% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Gardner-Webb (56.2%)

Low 54% ✗ LOSS

DBU PICK

53.7% win prob

5

@

Oklahoma St.

46.3% win prob

6

Predicted Winner DBU (53.7%)

Low 54% ✗ LOSS

James Madison PICK

53.7% win prob

2

@

Radford

46.3% win prob

4

Predicted Winner James Madison (53.7%)

Low 54% ✗ LOSS

Oral Roberts PICK

53.6% win prob

7

@

Central Ark.

46.4% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Oral Roberts (53.6%)

Low 53% ✗ LOSS

Bradley PICK

52.6% win prob

5

@

Lindenwood

47.4% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Bradley (52.6%)

Low 52% ✗ LOSS

Boston College

47.9% win prob

26

@

UConn PICK

52.1% win prob

19

Predicted Winner UConn (52.1%)

Low 52% ✗ LOSS

Wake Forest PICK

51.8% win prob

4

@

Coastal Carolina

48.2% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Wake Forest (51.8%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Non Div I - Westcliff PICK

nan% win prob

6

@

CSU Bakersfield

nan% win prob

7

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Central Michigan PICK

nan% win prob

18

@

Mercyhurst

nan% win prob

14

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Merrimack PICK

nan% win prob

9

@

Army

nan% win prob

10

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Non Div I - Kentucky State PICK

nan% win prob

2

@

Murray St.

nan% win prob

26

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Non Div I - University of the Southwest (NM) PICK

nan% win prob

4

@

New Mexico St.

nan% win prob

39

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Charleston So. PICK

nan% win prob

2

@

UNC-Wilmington

nan% win prob

18

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Lamar PICK

nan% win prob

6

@

Louisiana Tech

nan% win prob

0

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Non Div I - Dillard PICK

nan% win prob

7

@

Southern U.

nan% win prob

20

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Sam Houston St. PICK

nan% win prob

5

@

Baylor

nan% win prob

13

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Seattle PICK

nan% win prob

4

@

Washington

nan% win prob

7

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Non Div I - Chaminade PICK

nan% win prob

0

@

Hawaii

nan% win prob

15

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Medium 82%

Manhattan

17.9% win prob

—

@

Fairleigh Dickinson PICK

82.1% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Fairleigh Dickinson (82.1%)

Medium 75%

Coppin St.

25.1% win prob

—

@

Richmond PICK

74.9% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Richmond (74.9%)

Medium 73%

Holy Cross PICK

73.1% win prob

—

@

Massachusetts

26.9% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Holy Cross (73.1%)

Low 66%

Mississippi St. PICK

66.2% win prob

—

@

Tulane

33.8% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Mississippi St. (66.2%)

Low 54%

Delaware

45.7% win prob

—

@

Penn PICK

54.3% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Penn (54.3%)

Low nan%

Non Div I - Miles PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Alabama A&M

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Tarleton St. PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Incarnate Word

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Geo. Mason PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Longwood

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Non Div I - Union PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

UT Martin

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Fla. Gulf Coast PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Fla. Intl

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

UT-Rio Grande Valley PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Louisiana

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

UT-Arlington PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Oklahoma

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)