Baseball Recap — Sunday, March 08, 2026

Confidence	W/L	Win Rate
50%–60%	9/17	53%
60%–70%	21/29	72%
70%–80%	27/38	71%
80%–90%	16/21	76%
90%+	7/8	88%

High 95% ✓ WIN

North Florida

4.5% win prob

2

@

Alabama PICK

95.5% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Alabama (95.5%)

High 95% ✓ WIN

Harvard

4.7% win prob

4

@

Liberty PICK

95.3% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Liberty (95.3%)

High 95% ✓ WIN

Penn St.

5.5% win prob

4

@

Texas Tech PICK

94.5% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Texas Tech (94.5%)

High 93% ✓ WIN

Norfolk St.

6.8% win prob

4

@

LIU PICK

93.2% win prob

7

Predicted Winner LIU (93.2%)

High 91% ✓ WIN

Western Caro.

9.2% win prob

4

@

Charlotte PICK

90.8% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Charlotte (90.8%)

High 91% ✓ WIN

UC San Diego

9.3% win prob

8

@

Cincinnati PICK

90.7% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Cincinnati (90.7%)

High 90% ✓ WIN

Pittsburgh PICK

90.3% win prob

3

@

San Jose St.

9.7% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Pittsburgh (90.3%)

High 90% ✓ WIN

William & Mary

10.5% win prob

5

@

Campbell PICK

89.5% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Campbell (89.5%)

High 89% ✓ WIN

Alabama A&M

10.7% win prob

7

@

UNC Asheville PICK

89.3% win prob

12

Predicted Winner UNC Asheville (89.3%)

High 89% ✓ WIN

La Salle

11.0% win prob

3

@

Clemson PICK

89.0% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Clemson (89.0%)

High 88% ✓ WIN

UCLA PICK

87.6% win prob

10

@

Ohio St.

12.4% win prob

7

Predicted Winner UCLA (87.6%)

High 88% ✓ WIN

UIC

12.4% win prob

0

@

Missouri PICK

87.6% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Missouri (87.6%)

High 87% ✓ WIN

Seton Hall

13.0% win prob

2

@

Louisville PICK

87.0% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Louisville (87.0%)

High 87% ✓ WIN

The Citadel

13.1% win prob

5

@

Kentucky PICK

86.9% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Kentucky (86.9%)

High 86% ✓ WIN

Memphis

14.2% win prob

12

@

Missouri St. PICK

85.8% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Missouri St. (85.8%)

High 86% ✓ WIN

Murray St.

14.3% win prob

9

@

UCF PICK

85.7% win prob

10

Predicted Winner UCF (85.7%)

High 86% ✓ WIN

Alcorn

14.3% win prob

2

@

Mercer PICK

85.7% win prob

25

Predicted Winner Mercer (85.7%)

Medium 84% ✓ WIN

Eastern Mich.

15.8% win prob

4

@

Miami (OH) PICK

84.2% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Miami (OH) (84.2%)

Medium 83% ✓ WIN

SIUE

16.6% win prob

7

@

Kansas St. PICK

83.4% win prob

20

Predicted Winner Kansas St. (83.4%)

Medium 83% ✓ WIN

Princeton

16.7% win prob

1

@

South Carolina PICK

83.3% win prob

13

Predicted Winner South Carolina (83.3%)

Medium 83% ✓ WIN

Manhattan

17.1% win prob

7

@

Marist PICK

82.9% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Marist (82.9%)

Medium 83% ✓ WIN

Northern Ky.

17.2% win prob

3

@

Florida St. PICK

82.8% win prob

17

Predicted Winner Florida St. (82.8%)

Medium 80% ✓ WIN

Queens (NC)

19.7% win prob

3

@

Georgia PICK

80.3% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Georgia (80.3%)

Medium 80% ✓ WIN

Columbia

20.3% win prob

1

@

West Virginia PICK

79.7% win prob

16

Predicted Winner West Virginia (79.7%)

Medium 80% ✓ WIN

Notre Dame PICK

79.6% win prob

2

@

Duke

20.4% win prob

0

Predicted Winner Notre Dame (79.6%)

Medium 80% ✓ WIN

Massachusetts

20.4% win prob

11

@

Toledo PICK

79.6% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Toledo (79.6%)

Medium 79% ✓ WIN

USC Upstate

20.5% win prob

3

@

Texas PICK

79.5% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Texas (79.5%)

Medium 79% ✓ WIN

Canisius

20.8% win prob

0

@

Delaware PICK

79.2% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Delaware (79.2%)

Medium 79% ✓ WIN

LMU (CA)

20.9% win prob

4

@

Arizona St. PICK

79.1% win prob

29

Predicted Winner Arizona St. (79.1%)

Medium 79% ✓ WIN

UMBC

21.1% win prob

5

@

Penn PICK

78.9% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Penn (78.9%)

Medium 79% ✓ WIN

Holy Cross

21.4% win prob

3

@

Portland PICK

78.6% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Portland (78.6%)

Medium 78% ✓ WIN

Tennessee Tech

21.6% win prob

6

@

Ga. Southern PICK

78.4% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Ga. Southern (78.4%)

Medium 78% ✓ WIN

Presbyterian

22.2% win prob

4

@

App State PICK

77.8% win prob

13

Predicted Winner App State (77.8%)

Medium 78% ✓ WIN

Milwaukee

22.3% win prob

2

@

Southeast Mo. St. PICK

77.7% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Southeast Mo. St. (77.7%)

Medium 78% ✓ WIN

UC Davis PICK

77.7% win prob

7

@

UC Riverside

22.3% win prob

3

Predicted Winner UC Davis (77.7%)

Medium 77% ✓ WIN

Monmouth PICK

77.2% win prob

12

@

Towson

22.8% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Monmouth (77.2%)

Medium 77% ✓ WIN

Youngstown St.

23.0% win prob

1

@

Southern Ind. PICK

77.0% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Southern Ind. (77.0%)

Medium 77% ✓ WIN

Cal St. Fullerton PICK

76.8% win prob

13

@

CSU Bakersfield

23.2% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Cal St. Fullerton (76.8%)

Medium 77% ✓ WIN

Lafayette

23.3% win prob

4

@

NC State PICK

76.7% win prob

14

Predicted Winner NC State (76.7%)

Medium 77% ✓ WIN

Oregon PICK

76.6% win prob

15

@

Purdue

23.4% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Oregon (76.6%)

Medium 76% ✓ WIN

Gardner-Webb

23.6% win prob

1

@

Oklahoma St. PICK

76.4% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Oklahoma St. (76.4%)

Medium 76% ✓ WIN

High Point

24.1% win prob

11

@

Florida PICK

75.9% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Florida (75.9%)

Medium 75% ✓ WIN

Evansville

25.3% win prob

3

@

Ole Miss PICK

74.7% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Ole Miss (74.7%)

Medium 74% ✓ WIN

Long Beach St.

25.7% win prob

2

@

UC Santa Barbara PICK

74.3% win prob

6

Predicted Winner UC Santa Barbara (74.3%)

Medium 74% ✓ WIN

Santa Clara

26.3% win prob

6

@

Oklahoma PICK

73.7% win prob

8

Predicted Winner Oklahoma (73.7%)

Medium 73% ✓ WIN

UAlbany

27.2% win prob

3

@

St. John's (NY) PICK

72.8% win prob

4

Predicted Winner St. John's (NY) (72.8%)

Medium 72% ✓ WIN

Omaha

27.8% win prob

4

@

Minnesota PICK

72.2% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Minnesota (72.2%)

Medium 72% ✓ WIN

N.C. A&T

28.1% win prob

8

@

Elon PICK

71.9% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Elon (71.9%)

Medium 71% ✓ WIN

North Ala.

29.2% win prob

2

@

Southern Miss. PICK

70.8% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Southern Miss. (70.8%)

Medium 71% ✓ WIN

St. Bonaventure

29.3% win prob

2

@

Marshall PICK

70.7% win prob

25

Predicted Winner Marshall (70.7%)

Low 70% ✓ WIN

Air Force

30.1% win prob

1

@

Baylor PICK

69.9% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Baylor (69.9%)

Low 68% ✓ WIN

Cornell

31.9% win prob

11

@

Fordham PICK

68.1% win prob

16

Predicted Winner Fordham (68.1%)

Low 68% ✓ WIN

Louisiana Tech PICK

68.0% win prob

6

@

South Alabama

32.0% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Louisiana Tech (68.0%)

Low 67% ✓ WIN

Bowling Green

32.7% win prob

1

@

Kent St. PICK

67.3% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Kent St. (67.3%)

Low 67% ✓ WIN

Washington PICK

67.2% win prob

13

@

Indiana

32.8% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Washington (67.2%)

Low 67% ✓ WIN

Illinois

33.3% win prob

3

@

Southern California PICK

66.7% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Southern California (66.7%)

Low 66% ✓ WIN

Dartmouth

33.5% win prob

3

@

Navy PICK

66.5% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Navy (66.5%)

Low 66% ✓ WIN

Lehigh

33.7% win prob

0

@

Davidson PICK

66.3% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Davidson (66.3%)

Low 66% ✓ WIN

Bradley

33.7% win prob

1

@

Saint Louis PICK

66.3% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Saint Louis (66.3%)

Low 66% ✓ WIN

Cal Poly PICK

66.1% win prob

7

@

Hawaii

33.9% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Cal Poly (66.1%)

Low 66% ✓ WIN

Arkansas St. PICK

66.0% win prob

7

@

Oral Roberts

34.0% win prob

0

Predicted Winner Arkansas St. (66.0%)

Low 64% ✓ WIN

San Diego

36.2% win prob

2

@

California PICK

63.8% win prob

5

Predicted Winner California (63.8%)

Low 64% ✓ WIN

ETSU PICK

63.6% win prob

13

@

James Madison

36.4% win prob

0

Predicted Winner ETSU (63.6%)

Low 63% ✓ WIN

Sacramento St. PICK

63.1% win prob

6

@

LSU

36.9% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Sacramento St. (63.1%)

Low 61% ✓ WIN

Saint Mary's (CA) PICK

61.3% win prob

9

@

San Diego St.

38.7% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Saint Mary's (CA) (61.3%)

Low 61% ✓ WIN

Washington St.

39.2% win prob

3

@

Texas St. PICK

60.8% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Texas St. (60.8%)

Low 61% ✓ WIN

Grand Canyon

39.3% win prob

0

@

Utah PICK

60.7% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Utah (60.7%)

Low 61% ✓ WIN

Saint Peter's

39.4% win prob

4

@

NJIT PICK

60.6% win prob

8

Predicted Winner NJIT (60.6%)

Low 60% ✓ WIN

Morehead St. PICK

60.4% win prob

9

@

Butler

39.6% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Morehead St. (60.4%)

Low 60% ✓ WIN

Western Ill.

39.6% win prob

8

@

VMI PICK

60.4% win prob

9

Predicted Winner VMI (60.4%)

Low 60% ✓ WIN

Michigan St.

39.7% win prob

2

@

Nebraska PICK

60.3% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Nebraska (60.3%)

Low 60% ✓ WIN

Rhode Island PICK

59.7% win prob

19

@

Brown

40.3% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Rhode Island (59.7%)

Low 59% ✓ WIN

Northern Colo.

40.9% win prob

4

@

Utah Valley PICK

59.1% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Utah Valley (59.1%)

Low 58% ✓ WIN

Maryland PICK

58.3% win prob

7

@

Troy

41.7% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Maryland (58.3%)

Low 57% ✓ WIN

Illinois St.

42.7% win prob

6

@

Eastern Ky. PICK

57.3% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Eastern Ky. (57.3%)

Low 57% ✓ WIN

Maine

43.5% win prob

8

@

Dayton PICK

56.5% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Dayton (56.5%)

Low 53% ✓ WIN

Wright St. PICK

52.9% win prob

6

@

Tennessee

47.1% win prob

0

Predicted Winner Wright St. (52.9%)

Low 52% ✓ WIN

Fresno St.

47.5% win prob

4

@

Arizona PICK

52.5% win prob

14

Predicted Winner Arizona (52.5%)

Low 50% ✓ WIN

Pacific

49.7% win prob

2

@

Nevada PICK

50.3% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Nevada (50.3%)

Low 50% ✓ WIN

Tarleton St. PICK

50.3% win prob

9

@

New Mexico

49.7% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Tarleton St. (50.3%)

High 94% ✗ LOSS

Mississippi Val.

6.3% win prob

5

@

UT Martin PICK

93.7% win prob

3

Predicted Winner UT Martin (93.7%)

High 90% ✗ LOSS

West Ga.

10.2% win prob

13

@

Wichita St. PICK

89.8% win prob

11

Predicted Winner Wichita St. (89.8%)

High 90% ✗ LOSS

Virginia Tech

10.4% win prob

9

@

Georgia Tech PICK

89.6% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Georgia Tech (89.6%)

Medium 84% ✗ LOSS

Iona PICK

83.7% win prob

2

@

Mount St. Mary's

16.3% win prob

9

Predicted Winner Iona (83.7%)

Medium 81% ✗ LOSS

Bryant

18.7% win prob

5

@

Rutgers PICK

81.3% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Rutgers (81.3%)

Medium 80% ✗ LOSS

St. Thomas (MN)

19.7% win prob

13

@

Kansas PICK

80.3% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Kansas (80.3%)

Medium 80% ✗ LOSS

Stetson

20.3% win prob

4

@

Arkansas PICK

79.7% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Arkansas (79.7%)

Medium 80% ✗ LOSS

Tulane

20.3% win prob

8

@

TCU PICK

79.7% win prob

4

Predicted Winner TCU (79.7%)

Medium 78% ✗ LOSS

UConn PICK

77.8% win prob

5

@

Old Dominion

22.2% win prob

6

Predicted Winner UConn (77.8%)

Medium 77% ✗ LOSS

Boston College

22.6% win prob

9

@

Miami (FL) PICK

77.4% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Miami (FL) (77.4%)

Medium 76% ✗ LOSS

UMass Lowell

23.9% win prob

6

@

San Francisco PICK

76.1% win prob

4

Predicted Winner San Francisco (76.1%)

Medium 76% ✗ LOSS

UTSA PICK

75.9% win prob

4

@

New Mexico St.

24.1% win prob

5

Predicted Winner UTSA (75.9%)

Medium 74% ✗ LOSS

Louisiana PICK

74.3% win prob

1

@

DBU

25.7% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Louisiana (74.3%)

Medium 74% ✗ LOSS

Central Ark. PICK

73.8% win prob

2

@

Little Rock

26.2% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Central Ark. (73.8%)

Medium 74% ✗ LOSS

Villanova

26.2% win prob

4

@

Florida A&M PICK

73.8% win prob

1

Predicted Winner Florida A&M (73.8%)

Medium 73% ✗ LOSS

Western Mich. PICK

72.6% win prob

2

@

Akron

27.4% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Western Mich. (72.6%)

Medium 71% ✗ LOSS

North Dakota St.

28.7% win prob

5

@

Vanderbilt PICK

71.3% win prob

2

Predicted Winner Vanderbilt (71.3%)

Low 70% ✗ LOSS

CSUN

30.1% win prob

9

@

UC Irvine PICK

69.9% win prob

2

Predicted Winner UC Irvine (69.9%)

Low 67% ✗ LOSS

Rice PICK

66.8% win prob

1

@

Abilene Christian

33.2% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Rice (66.8%)

Low 65% ✗ LOSS

Gonzaga PICK

65.4% win prob

6

@

Creighton

34.6% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Gonzaga (65.4%)

Low 65% ✗ LOSS

Niagara PICK

65.0% win prob

4

@

Merrimack

35.0% win prob

6

Predicted Winner Niagara (65.0%)

Low 65% ✗ LOSS

Wofford PICK

64.9% win prob

2

@

Belmont

35.1% win prob

3

Predicted Winner Wofford (64.9%)

Low 65% ✗ LOSS

Northeastern PICK

64.7% win prob

6

@

Stony Brook

35.3% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Northeastern (64.7%)

Low 63% ✗ LOSS

Le Moyne PICK

63.5% win prob

8

@

Delaware St.

36.5% win prob

12

Predicted Winner Le Moyne (63.5%)

Low 63% ✗ LOSS

Xavier PICK

62.9% win prob

2

@

Oregon St.

37.1% win prob

17

Predicted Winner Xavier (62.9%)

Low 58% ✗ LOSS

South Dakota St. PICK

58.1% win prob

4

@

Southern Ill.

41.9% win prob

5

Predicted Winner South Dakota St. (58.1%)

Low 56% ✗ LOSS

Indiana St. PICK

55.8% win prob

4

@

Western Ky.

44.2% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Indiana St. (55.8%)

Low 56% ✗ LOSS

Rider PICK

55.8% win prob

4

@

Sacred Heart

44.2% win prob

5

Predicted Winner Rider (55.8%)

Low 55% ✗ LOSS

Bucknell PICK

54.7% win prob

3

@

Saint Joseph's

45.3% win prob

13

Predicted Winner Bucknell (54.7%)

Low 54% ✗ LOSS

East Carolina

45.8% win prob

10

@

Coastal Carolina PICK

54.2% win prob

4

Predicted Winner Coastal Carolina (54.2%)

Low 53% ✗ LOSS

Lindenwood PICK

52.7% win prob

9

@

Iowa

47.3% win prob

10

Predicted Winner Lindenwood (52.7%)

Low 52% ✗ LOSS

Quinnipiac

47.9% win prob

5

@

UNC Greensboro PICK

52.1% win prob

3

Predicted Winner UNC Greensboro (52.1%)

Low 50% ✗ LOSS

Mercyhurst

49.6% win prob

12

@

Coppin St. PICK

50.4% win prob

7

Predicted Winner Coppin St. (50.4%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Central Michigan PICK

nan% win prob

10

@

Ball St.

nan% win prob

11

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Fla. Gulf Coast PICK

nan% win prob

8

@

Bethune-Cookman

nan% win prob

9

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

UNC-Wilmington PICK

nan% win prob

7

@

Jacksonville

nan% win prob

2

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Northern Ill. PICK

nan% win prob

8

@

Ohio

nan% win prob

2

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Army PICK

nan% win prob

3

@

VCU

nan% win prob

11

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Lamar PICK

nan% win prob

11

@

SFA

nan% win prob

14

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan% ✗ LOSS

Jackson St. PICK

nan% win prob

4

@

Seattle

nan% win prob

6

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

High 94%

Ark.-Pine Bluff

5.9% win prob

—

@

Houston PICK

94.1% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Houston (94.1%)

High 94%

Lipscomb

6.0% win prob

—

@

Mississippi St. PICK

94.0% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Mississippi St. (94.0%)

Medium 81%

Grambling

19.0% win prob

—

@

Southeastern La. PICK

81.0% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Southeastern La. (81.0%)

Medium 72%

Col. of Charleston PICK

71.5% win prob

—

@

Hofstra

28.5% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Col. of Charleston (71.5%)

Low 67%

Samford PICK

67.3% win prob

—

@

Kennesaw St.

32.7% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Samford (67.3%)

Low 66%

Binghamton

34.1% win prob

—

@

Richmond PICK

65.9% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Richmond (65.9%)

Low 59%

Longwood PICK

58.7% win prob

—

@

Alabama St.

41.3% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Longwood (58.7%)

Low 59%

New Haven PICK

58.7% win prob

—

@

Stonehill

41.3% win prob

—

Predicted Winner New Haven (58.7%)

Low 55%

Northwestern PICK

55.0% win prob

—

@

UNLV

45.0% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Northwestern (55.0%)

Low 54%

Fairleigh Dickinson

45.7% win prob

—

@

Wagner PICK

54.3% win prob

—

Predicted Winner Wagner (54.3%)

Low nan%

UMES PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Central Connecticut

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Fla. Intl PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Fla. Atlantic

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Georgetown PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Geo. Mason

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Yale PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

Geo. Washington

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

Louisiana-Monroe PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

UT-Arlington

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)

Low nan%

New Orleans PICK

nan% win prob

—

@

UT-Rio Grande Valley

nan% win prob

—

Predicted Winner No data (nan%)